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Post by MarkInTexas on Aug 15, 2019 16:37:06 GMT -5
Befitting for a weekend with 5 new wide releases, a lot of films did well, but no film did outstanding.
Driving to the top for the second weekend in a row was Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw, which predictably had a steep drop from last weekend, but not enough to cost it #1. The spinoff took in $25.3 million for a 10-day total of $108.4 million. This will outgross the first three films of the franchise, and will likely pass #4, but almost certainly not reach the ratified air of the other sequels of this decade. If it will still make enough to ensure more sequels to the spinoff series remains to be seen. In the meantime, Fast & Furious 9 will be out next May.
Leading the newcomers is horror adaption Scary Stories To Tell in the Dark, which debuted to a solid $20.9 million, or slightly more than what Annabelle Comes Home made its opening weekend in July (though that film opened on Wednesday). Annabelle has had surprisingly long legs for a horror film, so it's unlikely that Scary Stories will be able to match that film's probable fine gross around $75 million. But it does have a good chance of topping $50 million, and will significantly outgross last August PG-13-rated horror film, Slender Man.
The Lion King continues to stumble down the mountain, taking in $20.2 million for a gross of $473.3 million. The final gross of Beauty and the Beast'17 is only a bit more than $30 million away, so Lion should reign as the top grosser of Disney's live-actionish remakes. However, $600 million is most likley out of reach at this point.
Opening in 4th is Dora and the Lost City of Gold, which brought in $17.4 million, which were probably not the amount of riches the studio was looking for. It's still early, but this seems unlikely to set off a chain of live-action movies about kid cartoon characters grown up, so sorry to those looking forward to The Powerpuff Women.
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is looking to be this summer's biggest hit driven mostly by star power rather than franchise or familiarity as it becomes Quentin Tarantino's 4th film to pass the century mark. The not-exactly-historically-accurate drama took in $11.7 million to bring its total to $108.4 million.
The third movie narrated by a dog this year, The Art of Racing in the Rain took in $8.1 million in its opening weekend, or slightly more than the second movie narrated by a dog, A Dog's Purpose, took in during its May opening. It seems likely to finish around the same doghouse of between $20-25 million.
Despite having the most star power of any of the openers, crime drama The Kitchen could only manage a 7th place start and a $5.5 million opening. This is actually less than what Melissa McCarthy's August flop last year, The Happytime Murders, opened to. It seems likely that The Kitchen will fall short of Happytime's $20.7 million final gross as well.
In what will likely be their final weekends in the Top 10, Spider-Man: Far From Home and Toy Story 4 made $5.3 million and $4.5 million, respectively. Spidey's total is now $370.6 million, which should be enough to get it past Spider-Man 2 in the upcoming days, but Home will likely fall short of $400 million and Spider-Man'01. On the other hand, Toy Story 4 is now officially the favorite toy of Andy's and Bonnie's playrooms, as its $419.7 million surpasses Toy Story 3's final gross.
Despite opening in relatively limited release, and playing an oddball schedule at most theaters, the latest concert film from Korean boyband sensation BTS, Bring the Soul: The Movie, made $2.4 million over the weekend, and $4.5 million since its Wednesday opening. We'll see if the next BTS movie gets a conventional release at theaters that show it 4-5 times daily every day.
BTS knocked the final wide release of the weekend, the courtroom drama Brian Banks, to 11th, with an opening of $2.2 million. Meanwhile, The Farewell added theaters, but actually made less money than last weekend, coming in 12th with $2.1 million. The comedy/drama is now at $10.2 million, and although it appears that the film has peaked, it seems likely to finish with a gross between $15-20 million.
Another 5 films open wide this weekend, meaning that most of the titles that were hanging around mostly because there was nothing new to replace them should be more or less gone by tomorrow (Stuber, we hardly knew ye). Already open since Tuesday is The Angry Birds Movie 2, where the birds and pigs have to team up to stop a mutual enemy. Bizarrely critics, who for the most part hated the first one, mostly seem to like this one. Opening tomorrow is Good Boys, the summer's second unofficial remake of Superbad, this time with 12-year-olds, including cute little Jacob Tremblay from Room, saying and doing some decisively not-cute things. Like Superbad and first unofficial remake Booksmart, this is getting better-than-expected reviews. Because every summer needs a shark movie, we get the sequel-in-name-only 47 Meters Down: Uncaged, as said sharks stalk the daughters of Jamie Foxx and Sylvester Stallone. The long-delayed Where'd You Go, Bernadette started life as an Oscar contender (based on best-selling book, stars Cate Blanchett, directed by Richard Linklater), but is now basically getting dumped in mid-August, meaning Cate and Richard can probably hold off booking those hotel rooms for Academy Award weekend. Finally, Blinded By the Light is the summer's second film centering around a young British man of Indian descent whose life is changed thanks to the music of an iconic musician. However, Blinded has a very different plot than Yesterday, and is also getting much better reviews. Whether audiences want to see birds be angry, boys be not-so-good, or sharks up close and personal we'll find out this weekend.
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oppy all along
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Post by oppy all along on Aug 15, 2019 19:13:49 GMT -5
Worldwide Box Office for August 9-111: Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw, $86,065,795, $332,472,271 (=, -52%) 2: The Lion King (2019), $71,605,322, $1,337,148,404 (+1, -35%) 3: Nezha, $64,472,000, $507,390,000 (-1, -47%) 4: The Bravest, $28,890,000, $166,740,000 (=, -46%) 5: Line Walker 2, $27,879,000, $62,640,000 (NR) In first place, Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs and Shaw holds well enough to hold on in both domestic and worldwide. There's open road ahead, with not much in the way of competition (hi, every movie studios were too scared to release until Disney left you a gap in the schedule) and their biggest market still to open. South Korea opens for Hobbs and Shaw this weekend, but the big one is China next week. More on that later. The Lion King (2019) is racking up the numbers. They've settled into #2 worldwide for the year, a spot they probably won't give up unless Frozen 2 or Star Wars 9 is bigger than expected. A strong hold this session was propelled by opening in Japan. The only really notable thing here is pundits arguing whether this deserves to be called animation or live action. This is important, for some reason. Also my brother was very upset and disappointed by this movie. Serves him right, nice work Disney. As we get to the end of the China blackout (Yesterday and Angry Birds 2 open in China this week), three local titles fill out 3-5 on the worldwide chart. Nezha is still going crazy big and looks to be a contender for one of the non-Disney slots in the top 10 come the end of the year. The Bravest is still bringing in solid numbers. And we also have Line Walker 2, a globetrotting action thriller based on a tv show that seems in the mould of Mission Impossible. It's even based on a tv show. Not on the charts is Coward Hero, showing what I know. I don't know if any of you have sources on the China box office, but I don't. So link me. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark and Dora and the Lost City of Gold opened at $24.9m and $19.9m respectively. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark is both a children's movie and a horror movie, so we'll see how the drops go. Dora has room to grow as a family movie that is getting a slower international roll-out. It'll probably be bubbling under the top 5 for a while. Once Upon a Time in... Hollywood opened in Russia to a strong result and held solidly in America, making $19.3m all up. With international tallies like that and still the entire rest of the world to go things are looking pretty good for the Tarantino movie. The Secret Life of Pets 2 opened in Mexico and Spain, making $15.8m. With that it's hit pretty much everywhere and has quietly tallied a solid $380m worldwide box office. Had things held static a bit longer, they could have even made a cameo in the worldwide top 10. Definitely not what they were hoping for after the massive breakout of the first movie, but it's solid. Toy Story 4 made $14m, and will have already joined or is right on the brink of joining the $1b club by now. This will make Disney the first studio to have five movies to cross $1b in a year, with still Frozen 2 and The Rise of Skywalker to go. So we could realistically be looking at seven $1b+ movies from Disney and one they co-produced by the end of the year. And their reward for this 81-1 season (the 1 is Dumbo) is they need to do it again... forever... or the movie industry will collapse. Next week we have a bunch more movies! Studios apparently thought it would be better to release their movies in 5-car pileups rather than compete with Disney at all this year. Hey, if you release ten movies in two weeks at least one of them has to break through right? Surely the moviegoing public, sick of the Disney monopoly, will come support the competition that hasn't been focus-grouped and safety-proofed to death! (This has not happened at all). We have: The Angry Birds 2 Movie (72% Rotten Tomatoes, 60 Metacritic), the highest reviewed video game movie ever released suck it Detective Pikachu; 47 Meters Down: Uncaged (57% RT, 48 MC), a shark horror thriller sequel about some nice young ladies who discover a sunken Mayan city that happens to be populated by massive sharks; Blinded By the Light (91% RT, 71 MC), about a young Pakistani boy in England who discovers Bruce Springsteen music (this is better than Yesterday because Springsteen is better than the Beatles come at me); Good Boys (81% RT, 59 MC), an R-rated comedy about some kids who cuss; and Where'd You Go, Bernadette (49% RT, 52 MC), a movie that seems to be the epitome of people wanted to like it right up to the point they watched it and nobody actually likes it. Richard Linklater directing Cate Blanchett did sound tempting. 2019 Worldwide Box Office1: Avengers: Endgame (=) / Walt Disney, $2,795,486,053 2: The Lion King (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,337,148,404 3: Captain Marvel (=) / Walt Disney, $1,128,274,794 4: Spider-Man: Far From Home (=) / Sony Pictures, $1,096,950,062 5: Aladdin (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,034,964,778 6: Toy Story 4 (=) / Walt Disney, $990,210,017 7: The Wandering Earth (=) / China Film Group Corporation, $699,760,773 8: How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (=) / Universal, $519,758,180 9: Nezha (NEW) / Beijing Enlight Media, $507,390,000 10: Pokémon: Detective Pikachu (=) / Warner Bros, $431,185,164 The Chinese market gives and the Chinese market takes away. Alita: Battle Angel, a movie largely buoyed by strong returns in China, has been swept away by a Chinese blockbuster that will be contending with The Wandering Earth before too long. Now Pokémon: Detective Pikachu sits on the hot seat, waiting to see how long it takes Hobbs and Shaw to knock them out of the top 10. Toy Story 4 is closing in on a billion and Spider-Man and Captain Marvel are still eyeing each other off for third spot.
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oppy all along
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Post by oppy all along on Aug 22, 2019 6:14:05 GMT -5
Worldwide Box Office for August 16-18
1: Once Upon a Time in… Hollywood, $61,381,355, $179,762,931 (NR, +217%)
2: Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw, $59,879,135, $438,680,735 (-1, -30%)
3: The Lion King (2019), $46,132,686, $1,437,423,549 (-1, -36%)
4: Nezha, $39,479,000, $594,300,000 (-1, 39%)
5: The Angry Birds Movie 2, $29,754,073, $45,399,338 (NR)
Quentin Tarantino's Once Upon a Time in… Hollywood expanded wide this weekend, to very lucrative results. This represents his best overseas opening ever (not adjusted for inflation), 30% higher than Django Unchained. There are still a bunch of territories yet to open, and no announced date yet in China. It's looking bright for the ode to 1969. Heh, 69. Basically it's a hit.
In second place is another very long name, Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs and Shaw. It was a strong weekend for the movie, opening big in Korea. But the big test for the viability of this movie is the China release this weekend. If the bulging biceps bonanza can bring home a strong China gross then this movie can make a profit even with that monumental budget and maybe secure one of the vaunted non-Disney spots in the top 10 for this year. Disney is grabbing the headlines but Universal is quietly having a strong runners up season.
Speaking of Disney, The Lion King (2019) is locking up its spot on the historical charts. It's soon to hit $1b in non-domestic gross, and is currently #9 worldwide of all time, ahead of Age of Ultron and chasing down Furious 7. Guesstimating here, but it seems like The Lion King is going to finish in 6th at somewhere between $1.67b (Jurassic World) and $2.05b (Infinity War).
Nezha is still setting the box office on fire in China, marching up the charts and facing down the other Chinese entry in the top 10 The Wandering Earth. The unofficial Western blackout in the Chinese box office is just about up, with Nezha solidified as the biggest winner of the month. Will soon or has already passed Avengers: Endgame in Chinese box office totals this year.
And The Angry Birds Movie 2 opened to a disappointing result. Similar to The Secret Life of Pets 2, it's not going to live up to the original. Even if it is the highest rated video game movie on Rotten Tomatoes ever. (If that sounds impressive, you're forgetting how shit most video game movies are). It has solid word of mouth and a staggered worldwide release, so it has plenty of time to make back its budget. It'll be hoping to be long-term successful like Secret Life of Pets 2.
Under the top 5, Good Boys opened very strong for Universal at $23m, mostly domestic. The gulf between Good Boys and Booksmart either shows the difference between how the audience receives a male-led R-rated comedy and a female-led R-rated comedy, or the difference between how Universal distributes a movie and how Annapurna distributes a movie. Given the recent bankruptcy troubles of Annapurna I'm willing to indulge the possibility that maybe this isn't entirely a gender thing. Either way, this solidly reviewed movie is a modest hit.
Bodies at Rest, $18.4m, and The Bravest, $17.1m, had nice weekends in China. The Bravest in particular is by now a solid hit that outperforms a number of Hollywood titles including Lego Movie 2 and Rocketman. It's currently at #25 worldwide for 2019.
Dora and The Lost City of Gold opened in some new markets and chalked up a solid $15.1m. It has a lot of overseas markets left to come including Latin America where it will be pinning most of its hopes, so another title to look out for under the top 10 trying to eke out a profit in a blockbuster world. Paramount Pictures is having a quiet year, they will be hoping and praying Gemini Man (Will Smith/Ang Lee collab) or Terminator: Dark Fate (the latest 'hey, maybe this Terminator sequel will be good, the trailer looked good, maybe they've finally got this together) hits big.
And Toy Story 4 hits their belated billion! They join their Disney brethren Avengers: Endgame, The Lion King (2019), Captain Marvel, and Aladdin (2019) in the land of eight digits (as well as distinctly not-Disney Spider-Man: Far From Home). This is a big deal for a couple of reasons - the most billion dollar movies a studio has ever had in a year, the most billion dollar movies released overall in a year. Spidey or no Spidey, Disney is probably going to be fine. Toy Story 4 brought in $10.7m this weekend by the way.
In other news, Spider-Man: Far From Home has officially outgrossed Skyfall to become Sony's highest grossing movie of all time. And how does Sony thank Disney? Things are getting spicy in the world of billion dollar intellectual properties and movie franchises. Suddenly everyone has a strong position on which billion dollar companies they're for and which billion dollar companies they're against. As a lifelong fan of Disney's work I think I'm obliged to take their side, but Sony has some great stuff coming this year that I'm not willing to get mad at. I think I'll be a conscientious objector.
Finally, blessedly, in the US we have a break in studios chucking out every movie they have because they found a couple of weeks where nobody was releasing a massive blockbuster. We have Ready or Not, an R-rated black comedy-horror about rich people hunting a normie and the normie fighting back that isn't The Hunt, which is getting great reviews (91% on Rotten Tomatoes) and is hilariously released by Disney through Fox Searchlight. We have Angel has Fallen, a Gerard Butler action movie that is somehow the third in a '-has Fallen' trilogy released by Lionsgate. And we have Overcomer, a Christian drama movie about the power of prayer and how it applies to long-distance running.
2019 Worldwide Box Office
1: Avengers: Endgame (=) / Walt Disney, $2,795,920,455
2: The Lion King (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,437,423,549
3: Captain Marvel (=) / Walt Disney, $1,128,274,794
4: Spider-Man: Far From Home (=) / Sony Pictures, $1,109,559,425
5: Aladdin (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,040,440,264
6: Toy Story 4 (=) / Walt Disney, $1,017,026,843
7: The Wandering Earth (=) / China Film Group Corporation, $699,760,773
8: Nezha (+1) / Beijing Enlight Media, $594,300,000
9: How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (-1) / Universal, $519,841,873
10: Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (NEW) / Universal, $438,680,735
Movement at the bottom of the chart, Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw makes their debut in the top 10, knocking out Detective Pikachu. Nezha knocks down How to Train Your Dragon 3, leaving Universal a precarious couplet at 9/10. It: Chapter Two lurks on the horizon, Pennywise is figuring out who he'll have to drag into the sewers to get into the top 10. My money's on those nice dragons - they've had a nice run since the start of the year but they might be about to go extinct. Toy Story 4 and Aladdin (2019) battle for 5th in an interstudio squabble, meanwhile Spider-Man looms up behind Captain Marvel in a showdown with a lot more significance now.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Aug 22, 2019 16:38:35 GMT -5
Universal was the Good Boxoffice studio this weekend, as the company had the top two movies in America.
Good Boys, the raunchy, Seth Rogan-produced comedy with tweens saying things tweens shouldn't be saying (but definitely do) and doing things they shouldn't be doing, had a surprisingly muscular debut at #1, taking in $21.4 million. It becomes the first non-sequel/remake to top the chart since The Curse of La Llorona hit the top in April. It's also the first R-rated broad comedy to hit #1 since the largely forgotten Melissa McCarthy vehicle The Boss topped the chart nearly three and a half years ago (that said, there have been R-rated chart-toppers since then with strong comedic elements like The Hitman's Bodyguard and Kingsmen: The Golden Circle). If Good Boys proves to be especially good, it has an outside chance of making $100 million, but is much more likely to end up somewhere between $50 and $80 million.
Driving down to second is Universal's other current wide release film, Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw, which earned another $14.2 million to bring its total to $133.8 million. The buddy actioner is going to run out of steam before $200 million, but seems likely to make it to at least $175 million.
The last time that Disney didn't have a film in the Top 3 was the weekend of April 19, the week before Avengers: Endgame came out (that was also the weekend that The Curse of La Llorona topped the charts). This could be the final weekend of that streak, as the next movie from the Mouse, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, doesn't open until October. But it was a very nice run for the studio, as they continue to ask if you can feel the profits tonight, as The Lion King takes in another $12.3 million to bring its total to $496.5 million. By this time next weekend, it should be both well past $500 million and well past the final gross of Beauty and the Beast'17.
Opening in 4th is The Angry Birds Movie 2. This is one of those sequels that you have to wonder exactly who was clamoring for it. The first Angry Birds made $107.5 million back in 2016--not bad, but still an underperformance given how immensely popular the game had been a few years before. Plus, no one much liked the film. So its somewhat of a mystery as to why Sony greenlit a Part 2, which predictably face-planted with $10.3 million earned over the weekend and $16.1 million earned since its Tuesday opening. Don't expect The Angry Birds Movie 3--at least in theaters.
Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark faded like a typical horror movie, losing half its business from last weekend. That's still good enough for $10 million and a 10-day gross of $40.2 million. The film is probably looking at a final gross in the neighborhood of $60 million, and a probable sequel in a couple of years. After all, there are three books worth of stories to adapt.
Dora and the Lost City of Gold also lost half its business from last weekend, taking in $8.6 million for a ten-day total of $34 million. At this rate, Dora will be lucky to break $50 million.
Opening in 7th is 47 Meters Down: Uncaged, with $8.4 million. That's not too far off what the first 47 Meters Down opened to two years ago, and that one had Mandy Moore, as opposed to this cast of famous people's daughters. However, does anyone really think Uncaged is going to have anywhere near the legs of the first film, which impressively quadrupled its opening weekend gross?
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood continues to impress, taking in $7.8 million to bring its gross to $114.4 million. It should pass Inglourious Basterds in the next week to be Tarantino's second-highest-grossing film. The sixth movie in the Top 10 to have a title with at least 5 words, narrating dog movie The Art of Racing in the Rain at least held up better than fellow long titled Scary Stories and Dora, earning $4.6 million for a ten-day total of $17.1 million.
Rounding out the Top 10 is boy-and-his-Springsteen-obsession dramady Blinded By the Light, which got lost despite good reviews, opening to $4.3 million. Expect it to become a bigger cult hit once it hits home viewing. Failing to make the Top 10 is the only star vehicle of the weekend, Cate Blanchett's Where'd You Go, Bernadette, which opened to a dismal $3.5 million. Given the generally dismissive reviews, expect this one to join Oscar and Lucinda, Charlotte Gray, and Veronica Guerin in the list of movies named after her character that no one remembers.
After two straight weeks with five releases, this feels like a bit of a breather with only three titles going wide this weekend. Out already is the horror comedy Ready or Not, about a woman who discovers her new in-laws have decidedly different ideas of how she should spend her wedding night than she does. This opened to good reviews, but don't expect overwhelming box office. Opening tomorrow is Angel Has Fallen, the latest in the seemingly never-ending Has Fallen series, with Gerard Butler's intrepid Secret Service Agent has to go on the run after being accused of trying to assassinate the president himself. Aaron Eckhart, who played the president the last two times, isn't here this time around, but for some reason Morgan Freeman still is, and this one actually adds some interesting cast members like Jada Pinkett Smith, Tim Blake Nelson, and Nick Nolte. Finally, Overcomer is a Christian film from the director of such out-of-nowhere Christian hits as Facing the Giants, Fireproof, and War Room. I'm sure it is terrible, but the guy does seem to have a knack for knowing what Christian audiences will pay for, so don't be surprised if this does substantially better than expectations this weekend. Will any of these be able to top the box office, or will Boys do Good again? We'll find out this weekend.
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Post by oppy all along on Aug 27, 2019 4:41:04 GMT -5
Worldwide Box OFfice for August 23-25
1: Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw, $128,468,380, $588,029,635 (+1, +115%)
2: The Lion King (2019), $38,065,231, $1,511,326,340 (+1, -17%)
3: Once Upon a Time in… Hollywood, $33,005,400, $239,792,867 (-2, -46%)
4: Angel Has Fallen, $29,767,987, $29,767,987 (NEW)
5: Nezha, $22,947,000, $651,519,701 (-1, -42%)
Just about the only big news this week was Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw opening in China, and it did very well. Hobbs and Shaw still isn't tracking with the more hefty Fast-Furious pictures, but it looks like they'll turn a nice profit for Universal and maybe keep the spinoffs coming. As we know, the only sensible thing to do is find every franchise that works and run it into the ground until people are sick of seeing it. Because anything can replicate the success of the Marvel Cinematic Universe, it's just that easy.
Speaking of running something into the ground until people are sick of seeing it, Disney live-action(ish) adaption The Lion King (2019) opened in Italy and made a nice little sum there. Over the next few days it'll get past Furious 7 and Avengers to become the #7 all-time worldwide highest grossing movie. Disney's effectively managed to Moneyball the movie industry. And soon, the streaming industry. Hope Netflix has ten more Breaking Bad movies planned.
In third place Once Upon a Time… Hollywood is doing quite well. Sony were having a bad year before they dropped the 1-2 of Spider-Man: Far From Home and Tarantino IX in July. It remains to be seen how much international play Tarantino IX has left, as it chases down Inglourious Basterds at $321m and Django Unchained at $425m.
Angel has Fallen was the only new release to break into the top 5 this week. The franchise that had people - well, me - asking "wait, that's a franchise?" did okay for itself and seems to be trending alongside second installment London Has Fallen. Seriously, did you guys know this was an ongoing franchise? It has recurring characters and everything. Although in keeping with action franchises the only recurring woman gets recast this movie because if you keep them around for successive movies they start getting uppity.
Nezha is still big and is still in the running for a non-Disney top 10 spot. More on that below.
The Angry Birds Movie 2 continues getting lackluster numbers at $16.5m, hoping to hang around and pull together a solid number with a staggered rollout but is still tracking way below the first one. You have to question why Sony thought there was still a market for a phone game that was released in... 2009? Holy shit. That's the issue with animated movies based on trends - animation takes so long that by the time the movie is finished the trend is already outdated. They got lucky with an Angry Birds movie in 2016 but 2019 was a bridge too far.
Good Boys is doing well for an R-rated comedy with a limited budget at $15.1m. The lifetime gross of $48m is already beating other plucky adult comedies like Booksmart (awesome movie that's in my personal top 5 for the year) and Stuber (I mean it's okay I stand by the gimmick), because Universal is better at releasing mature movies than Annapurna and Disney/Fox.
Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark is back with $10.1m, which seems very solid for a horror movie made for children. Even with Guillermo del Toro at the helm that's a tough sell. Dora and the Lost City of Gold made $8.5m and is hoping that a nice, long, slow rollout will eventually turn a profit for them. And Overcomer is the other new movie to crack the top 10, the faith-based movie making $8.1m. You'd think at least someone would go into Good Boys thinking they were seeing a movie about actual good Christian boys.
Next week, we have... precisesly jack shit. Nezha is debuting in the US but that probably won't add much unless I'm greatly underestimating Western appetite for Chinese movies. There's an Indian movie called Saaho that might be a thing? There's a horror movie called Don't Let Go which is getting a release in the fuzzy grey area between a limited release and a wide release. Everyone's waiting for It: Chapter Two the week after.
2019 Worldwide Box Office
1: Avengers: Endgame (=) / Walt Disney, $2,796,140,084
2: The Lion King (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,511,326,340
3: Captain Marvel (=) / Walt Disney, $1,128,274,794
4: Spider-Man: Far From Home (=) / Sony Pictures, $1,115,751,480
5: Aladdin (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,043,431,553
6: Toy Story 4 (=) / Walt Disney, $1,031,368,204
7: The Wandering Earth (=) / China Film Group Corporation, $699,760,773
8: Nezha (=) / Beijing Enlight Media, $651,519,701
9: Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (+1) / Universal, $588,029,635
10: How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (-1) / Universal, $519,841,873
The nice dragons fall to the bottom of the pack ready to be eaten by Pennywise, and a few other chases get marginally closer, but not much else happening this week. So,
By the end of the year, this list will most likely have eight movies made by or affiliated with Disney. Avengers: Endgame, The Lion King (2019), Captain Marvel, Spider-Man: Far From Home (Disney character, Disney gets the merch money), Aladdin (2019), Toy Story 4, and then Frozen 2 and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker. It would be a monumental surprise if Disney weren't controlling at least seven spots by the end of the year.
This leaves 2, maybe 3 spots for studios other than Disney to be in the top 10 at the end of the year. And we have a few competitors.
China is controlling the top non-Disney spots with The Wandering Earth and Nezha. There could potentially be other competitors coming up, I say again if anyone has a source for Chinese film industry information link me because I have basically nothing.
Warner Bros have It: Chapter Two and Joker, two R-rated movies based on established IP (loosely in Joker's case) that could break out. These are the heavy hitters in the race, but R-rated horror movies and depressing character studies don't exactly fit the mould of box-office smashes.
Disney is in the running to lock down all ten spots as well (seems fair). Maleficent: Mistress of Evil could be big, the first one made $750m. The five year gap between them could be like the gap between Alice in Wonderland and the sequel though. And they have Ad Astra, an ambitious, original, big budget sci fi movie which they wouldn't make if you put a gun to their head. But it came through Fox so they may as well see what they can get for it. Hey, it stars Brad Pitt and it's getting buzz.
Paramount has a Will Smith thriller where he plays himself and a young version of himself called Gemini Man. An original sci fi thriller is a long shot, but Ang Lee and Will Smith could be that weird fucked up alchemy that makes gold. Terminator: Dark Fate is another one. IP, interesting trailer, maybe if it's really good (don't laugh) who knows?
Sony has Zombieland 2: Double Tap. Star-studded cast, and a sequel of a movie that's become a cult classic of sorts since it was released a decade ago, this is a dark horse but it could have upside. Jumanji: The Next Level could go big as well. Same cast that went big last time but now they're adding Danny Devito and Danny Glover.
Universal has Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs and Shaw already released and climbing, we'll see how far that goes. And fuck it I'm putting Cats on here. That trailer was widely viewed. Even more widely derided, but there's going to be some "you have to come see how fucked up this is" viewership for this movie.
There are a lot of other wide releases that could break out (I'm personally really looking forward to Sony's reboot of Charlie's Angels), but this is a rundown of the more notable competitors. Two spots, a lot of movies, history awaits.
Fingers crossed for Charlie's Angels.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Aug 28, 2019 11:03:46 GMT -5
Disney's dominance was pretty predictable based on the rather unique set of remakes and sequels that they had lined up. The only monster hit that's really a surprise is Captain Marvel, and even that probably only made about $100 million domestic more than expected. Next year should be more interesting, as there is only one live-action remake of an animated film in Mulan, which is considerably less popular than The Lion King or Aladdin (though it should clean up in China), and two Marvel films, only one, Black Widow, will prominently feature a character audiences are familiar with. There are two Pixars, but both are originals, as is the one Disney Animation Studios title. The other three films scheduled, Artemis Fowl, Jungle Cruse, and The One and Only Ivan, are attempts to launch franchises, and the quality of the films might actually come into play when it comes to their grosses.
Odds are very good that, even if all nine movies are hits, that Disney won't be the all-consuming behemoth that it was this year. In 2021, however, Disney goes back to recycling IP, with a new Thor and new Doctor Strange films and a new Indiana Jones (because the world needs an action movie starring someone nearly 80 years old).
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Post by MarkInTexas on Aug 28, 2019 15:26:56 GMT -5
Angel Has Fallen, the latest entry in the inexplicably popular "Has Fallen" series of action movies, topped a relatively slow week, as the final films of the summer get cranked out.
Angel, a thriller that has Secret Service Agent Gerard Butler on the run after being framed for trying to assassinate the president, opened to $21.4 million. That's roughly what the franchise's last entry, London Has Fallen, pulled in on its opening weekend, which suggests that Angel might be able to equal London's $62.5 million final gross.
Finishing second is raunchy comedy Good Boys, which took in $11.6 million. Its ten-day total stands at $41.9 million. These Boys seem to be on a trajectory toward $75 million, though if the film holds up well over the next few weeks, it could finish with $10 to $15 million more.
Coming in third is Christian drama Overcomer, which took in $8.1 million. That's less than many of the Christian films with well-known secular actors have opened at, but more than many of the films with no-name casts have made. It is right in the wheelhouse of director Alex Kendrick, who has a knack for making Christian films that do very well, even if the biggest name he's cast is Kirk Cameron. Overcomer looks likely to make at least $30 million.
Rounding out the Top 5 are long-running hits Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw and The Lion King. Both films make around $8.1 million. Hobbs now stands at $147.6 million, and King reigns with $510.6 million, making it the highest-grossing of Disney's live-action(ish) re-imaginings.
Opening in sixth is horror/comedy Ready or Not. Good reviews helped propel the film to a bloody good $8 million weekend and $11 million since its Wednesday opening. This one also looks to be heading toward $30 million.
In seventh, The Angry Birds Movie 2 held up surprisingly decently, taking in $6.4 million to bring it's 13-day total to $27.1 million. It looks likely to hit at least $40 million, and with some luck, might even be able to make it to $50 million.
Rounding out the Top 10 are Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark, which made $5.9 million for a total of $50.4 million, Dora and the Lost City of Gold, which took in $5.3 million for a gross of $43.2 million, and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, which made $5 million to bring its earnings to $123.2 million.
Outside the Top 10, The Peanut Butter Falcon went semi-wide, making an OK $3 million. Right now, it stands at $3.7 million total.
Labor Day weekend is the one three-day weekend of the year that's not really a prime moviegoing weekend. That explains why Hollywood is more or less taking the weekend off. Opening is action drama Don't Let Go, starring David Oyelowo who tries to prevent his niece's murder after the fact after discovering he can have phone conversations with her from before the crime. Also out is Bennett's War, about an injured solder who supports his family by racing motocross. It's unlikely either of these films will come close to the top, which should be a battle between Angel Has Fallen, Good Boys, and Overcomer. We'll find out how the lack of new movies affects Labor Day grosses next week.
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Post by Desert Dweller on Sept 1, 2019 0:22:31 GMT -5
Angel Has Fallen, the latest entry in the inexplicably popular "Has Fallen" series of action movies, topped a relatively slow week, as the final films of the summer get cranked out. Angel, a thriller that has Secret Service Agent Gerard Butler on the run after being framed for trying to assassinate the president, opened to $21.4 million. That's roughly what the franchise's last entry, London Has Fallen, pulled in on its opening weekend, which suggests that Angel might be able to equal London's $62.5 million final gross.
"Has Fallen" is a franchise? What?
Our local movie chain is offering $5 tickets all weekend, in honor of its anniversary. What a terrible movie weekend to be offering this deal. I may use it to go see the documentary "Aquarela".
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Post by MarkInTexas on Sept 3, 2019 10:16:35 GMT -5
Angel Has Fallen, the latest entry in the inexplicably popular "Has Fallen" series of action movies, topped a relatively slow week, as the final films of the summer get cranked out. Angel, a thriller that has Secret Service Agent Gerard Butler on the run after being framed for trying to assassinate the president, opened to $21.4 million. That's roughly what the franchise's last entry, London Has Fallen, pulled in on its opening weekend, which suggests that Angel might be able to equal London's $62.5 million final gross.
"Has Fallen" is a franchise? What?
Our local movie chain is offering $5 tickets all weekend, in honor of its anniversary. What a terrible movie weekend to be offering this deal. I may use it to go see the documentary "Aquarela".
"Has Fallen" is an awkward name (Box Office Mojo just lists it as the "Fallen" franchise), but those are the words that remain consistent from title to title. I'm having trouble thinking of any other franchise where the first word of the title changes each time while the rest of the title stays static. This was a very slow weekend, so I suspect that the discount was less about honoring their anniversary and more about getting people in the door. |
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Post by MarkInTexas on Sept 4, 2019 15:30:24 GMT -5
As I mentioned last week, Labor Day is the only three-day weekend of the year that is not a big movie-going weekend. Indeed, the studios usually treat it as a dumping ground, if they bother to release anything at all. Labor Day 2019 lived up to the holiday's reputation and then some.
Angel Has Fallen repeated at #1, despite plunging nearly half from its total last weekend, at least during the Friday-Sunday part of the weekend. The thriller took in $11.8 million through Sunday, and had a relatively big Labor Day, boosting its 4-day total to $15.4 million. It's 11-day total stands at $44.5 million, ahead of where London Has Fallen was at the same point in its run. Assuming that Gerard Butler wants to do another one of these (and given that he doesn't have much else going on, he'll want to do another one of these), expect Something Else Has Fallen around 2022.
Good Boys continues to be a late summer sleeper, earning $9.5 million through Sunday and $12.2 million through Monday. At the end of the 4-day, these boys' very bad behavior had racked up $59.2 million, suggesting a final total north of $80 million.
The Lion King jumped back into the Top 3, as the summer's highest-grossing film (if you consider the April release Avengers: Endgame a spring title) made another $9.4 million through Monday. All in all, the circle of cash the movie has earned so far is up to $523.6 million.
Another late summer hit, Fast & Furious Presents Hobbs & Shaw, made $8.4 million through Monday. It finished Labor Day with $159.2 million in the bank.
Over the Friday-Sunday portion of the weekend, horror-comedy Ready or Not came in 5th, while Christian drama Overcomer came in 6th. With Monday's totals included, however, Overcomer overcame Ready to take the 5th slot. The drama made $7.8 million over the four-day weekend, for a 11-day total of $19.3 million. Meanwhile, Ready or Not lost a bit of steam on Monday, finishing the four-day with $7.5 million. Still, like the equally cheap Overcomer, Ready will be nicely profitable, as its total is up to $22 million. Another cheap horror film (though not nearly as cheap as Ready), Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark also did well,frightening audiences out of $6.3 million over the four-day weekend, for a total of $58.9 million.
Pressed together with less than $0.5 million separating them were The Angry Birds Movie 2, Dora and the Lost City of Gold, Spider-Man: Far From Home, and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. From Friday through Sunday, Spidey was ahead of the Birds, and Hollywood was ahead of Dora. By Monday, however, family audiences pushed the two PG-rated films ahead of Spider-Man, which was re-released with additional footage, and Hollywood. Through the 4-day, Angry Bids mad, er made $6 million, Dora took in $5.8 million, Spidey $5.7 million, and Hollywood $5.5 million. Total for all for is, respectively, $35.7 million, $51.3 million, $386.1 million, and $131.1 million.
After passing The Peanut Butter Falcon, Toy Story 4, and 47 Meters: Uncaged, we come to the highest newcomer on the chart, Don't Let Go, which made $2.9 million on only 922 screens. Meanwhile, foreign language newcomers Saaho, Tod@s Caen, and Ne Zha, all on fewer screens, crushed the week's widest release, Bennett's War, which could only scrape up $0.6 million over the long weekend.
The box office doldrums will definitely end this weekend with the arrival if It: Chapter Two. Two years ago, the first It opened to $123.4 million. There's no reason to think this one won't open in the same neighborhood. How high will It fly? We'll find out next weekend.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Sept 11, 2019 15:15:03 GMT -5
America loves its killer clowns--or at least one killer clown in particular--as It: Chapter Two floated to the top of the box office in its opening weekend, scaring up $91.1 million. That's the fifth biggest opening for an R-rated movie, behind Deadpools 1 & 2, The Matrix Reloaded, and the first It. It's also the second-biggest opening for a horror movie. If there was going to be an It: Chapter Three, I'd be concerned how Chapter Two opened over $30 million under the first It two years ago, but since this is it for It, I'm sure WB will manage to cope.
It accounted for about 65% of the tickets sold this weekend, so everything else finished far, far back. Dropping to second after two weeks on top is Angel Has Fallen, which took in $6 million. Its total has risen to $53.5 million. It's still running ahead of where London Has Fallen was at this point in its run, and looks to be heading to around $65 million.
Coming in third is Good Boys, which brought in another $5.5 million. The sleeper comedy has now grossed $66.9 million, and looks to be heading to around $80 million. Incidentally, this is the first weekend where the top 3 were all R-rated titles since this weekend a year ago, when the Top 4 were The Predator, The Nun, A Simple Favor, and White Boy Rick.
Tan Lion Simba took 4th as The Lion King took in another $4.3 million, increasing its summer-best haul to $529.2 million. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw came in 5th with $3.8 million, to drive its total to $164.3 million. In 6th was Christian drama Overcomer, which has developed some not-bad legs. It took in $3.7 million, for a total of $24.7 million.
Only a tad over $200,000 separates 7th from 11th. Dora and the Lost City of Gold, which had fallen out of the Top 10 last weekend, jumps back in with $2.4 million. It's gross now stands at $54.3 million. The handful of moviegoers who couldn't get into It settled for Ready or Not or Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark, both of which finished with $2.3 million. Ready or not here it came with $25.7 million, while Scary Stories has shocked up $62.1 million. At $2.2 million, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood came in 10th, denying The Peanut Butter Falcon a spot in the Top 10, after the latter earned $2.1 million over the weekend. Hollywood is at $134.4 million, while Falcon has $12.1 million, making it one of the more successful indie projects of the summer.
Even with a big drop, It should take the top spot again this weekend ahead of the two wide newcomers. The drama Hustlers (not to be confused with May's The Hustle) about a group of strippers who rob will likely come in second, while poorly received Oscar bait The Goldfinch will likely open in third. Will either film mount an unlikely run toward the top? We'll find out next weekend.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Sept 18, 2019 14:51:09 GMT -5
Though not nearly as dominant as expected, It: Chapter Two won its second weekend with a $39.6 million haul, which brings the film's 10-day gross to $152.7 million. To be fair, that's a huge amount of money. It 2 will likely finish as either the highest or second-highest grossing R-rated horror film in history, and with a production budget of $70 million, should turn a nice profit. Still, it's hard not to notice that something is off with Chapter 2. Whether it's the weaker reviews than the first, the nearly 30-minutes-longer running time, or the fact that the first one, despite being only half the book, reached a satisfying conclusion, for whatever reason, people are not flocking to see the second part anywhere near the rate they went to see the first. Chapter 2's second weekend, for example, was over $20 million off the second weekend of Chapter 1, and Chapter 2 overall is running roughly $66 million behind. By the end of weekend 2, the first It had reached about 67% of its final total. If that pattern holds, Chapter 2 could finish over $100 million below.
The weekend's big box office news wasn't even the woes of It. About a month ago, word started circulating that Hustlers might be a sleeper hit, despite a title, premise (strippers turned robbers) and star (Jennifer Lopez) that suggested it was nothing more than a B-grade throwaway. The buzz kept growing, and when critics saw the film, they showered it with near-unanimous praise. It opened this weekend to a huge $33.2 million, exceeding even the optimistic expectations. Amazingly enough, it's only the third film of the year that's not a remake or part of a franchise to open over $30 million (the other two being Us and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood). Hustlers is, by a wide margin, the biggest live-action opening of J.Lo's career, and will almost certainly be her biggest hit since at least Monster-in-Law in 2005. Indeed, it could be her first live-action film ever to exceed $100 million domestic. It's also, by a wide margin, the biggest opening in upstart distributor STX's history. The film has also started attracting Oscar buzz, both for the film itself and for Lopez's performance, as she's getting her best reviews since Out of Sight.
It and Hustlers combined to account for about 2/3rds of the weekend boxoffice, leaving the remaining films to fight over scraps. Joining the top two in a 1-through-4 sweep of the top slots by R-rated films were Angel Has Fallen, with a weekend gross of $4.5 million, and Good Boys, with a gross of $4.2 million. Angel is now up to $60.5 million, and should pass the final gross of London Has Fallen any day now. Meanwhile Boys has earned $73.3 million, and should pass $80 million in the next couple of weeks.
Spending its 9th weekend in the Top 5 is The Lion King, which brought in another $3.7 million for a total of $534.1 million. That ties it with Star Wars: The Force Awakens, Black Panther, and Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle as the films with the second-longest stay in the Top 5 in the teens (the most is Frozen, with 11 weeks). Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw slipped to sixth with $2.8 million. Its gross is now $168.3 million. Overcomer brought in $2.7 million, to bring its total to $29 million.
Opening in 8th is future My World of Flops casefile and future This Had Oscar Buzz episode subject The Goldfinch. A heavy literary adaption was always going to be a hard sale, and once the scathing reviews started coming in from Toronto, this one was pretty much guaranteed to fail, though I don't think anyone thought it would fail this spectacularly. The drama pulled in $2.7 million and seems unlikely to crack $10 million.
Finally making the Top 10 after several weeks of finishing just below is The Peanut Butter Falcon, which came in at 9th. The dramady about a young man with Down Syndrome who dreams of becoming a professional wrestler and sets off on a journey to do exactly that, has emerged as one of the most successful independent films of the year so far. This weekend, it earned $1.8 million to bring its total to $15 million, and it should get past $20 million before it's all said and done.
At #10 is Dora and the Lost City of Gold, which has bounced around the bottom of the Top 10 for several weeks now. It grossed $1.8 million to bring its gross to $56.7 million.
Three new films go wide this weekend to challenge It and Hustlers for the top spot. Ad Astra is a sci-fi drama about an astronaut, played by Brad Pitt, trying to solve the mystery of his missing father, played by Tommy Lee Jones. Its the odds-on favorite to win the weekend, but could face a challenge from Rambo: Last Blood. After spending a good chunk of the teens playing Rocky Balboa, Sylvester Stallone revives John Rambo and sends him to Mexico to take on a drug cartel. Given the history of the franchise, its probably a wise idea to take the "Blood" part of the title seriously. Another contender is Downton Abbey, a feature film continuation of everyone's favorite British historical soap opera. Whether any of them can successfully challenge It or even Hustlers for the top spot, we'll find out next week.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Sept 25, 2019 15:29:44 GMT -5
What was expected to be a close race at the box office turned into an unexpected rout, as Americans proved to be far more interested in the emotional lives of British aristocracy of the past than the emotional life of an American astronaut of the future.
Opening at #1 is Downton Abbey, the feature film sequel to the beloved British television soap opera about the ever-turbulent lives of a noble family and their household servants. Reuniting much of the cast of the TV show, the movie focuses on the turmoil surrounding a visit by the King and Queen to the titular house. Fans, who had been missing the show since it ended in 2015, turned out in droves, as the drama opened to $31 million.
While there have been plenty of adaptions of TV shows over the years, films similar to Downton Abbey, which stars the show's original cast in their original roles, are relatively rare. Over the last 15 years, there has only been six other live-action film follow-ups to narrative series that have gotten wide release in the US: Serenity, Reno 911!: Miami, Sex and the City, The X-Files: I Want to Believe, Sex and the City 2, and Entourage. Of those six, only the first Sex and the City is considered an unqualified success. If Downton Abbey follows that film's box office trajectory, it will end up with around $80 million domestic.
Coming in second was Ad Astra, the space drama starring Brad Pitt as an astronaut on a journey to find his missing father. Mostly positive reviews led to some speculation that the film might break out, but it ended up opening to $19 million. Fall has been a good time in the recent past to release space movies (Gravity, The Martian, Interstellar), but this is in danger of performing more like last year's First Man.
Opening in third is Sylvester Stallone's return to his other signature character, Rambo: Last Blood. Unlike his return to Rocky in Creed, an Oscar nomination for this one is highly unlikely, as is a $100 million plus domestic gross. The actioner, where John Rambo goes after a drug cartel that kidnapped his niece, opened to $18.9 million.
The champ for the last two weeks, It: Chapter Two, fell to fourth this weekend with $17 million. The Stephen King adaption is now up to $178.9 million, and will likely finish in the low $200 millions, well below its predecessor.
In fifth is sleeper hit Hustlers, which took in $16.8 million in its second weekend. The 10-day total stands at $62.4 million, and is likely heading to a final total over $100 million.
Finishing well back of the top five is The Lion King, still roaring around the Top 10 with $2.7 million. Its queue now stands at $537.7 million, and Simba et al has an outside shot at a final gross of $550 million.
In seventh is Good Boys, which took in $2.6 million. The comedy is now at $77.4 million, and is likely to finish between $85 and $90 million. Angel Has Fallen took in another $2.4 million, to run its total to $64.7 million. It should finish between $70 and $75 million.
Rounding out the top 10 is Christian drama Overcomer, which made $1.5 million to bring its total to $31.6 million, around the same final total as director Alex Kendrick's prior titles Fireproof and Courageous, and Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw, which also earned $1.5 million for a total of $170.6 million. It will likely finish around $175 million.
As usual with Hollywood schedule-making, its either feast or famine in terms of new releases. The next two weeks will see only one new wide release per weekend, before 10 new wide titles crowd themselves into the last three weekends of October. This weekend's one and only title is DreamWorks Animation's Abominable, a adventure comedy about three kids who attempt to get a yeti back home from the city to the mountains. It will likely finish at #1, but it is an open question as to how much better it will do compared to last year's yeti animated comedy, Smallfoot, which underperformed. We'll find out next week.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Oct 2, 2019 12:41:07 GMT -5
Memo to movie studios: the last weekend in September might not be the best place to release your animated Yeti movies.
Following in the Smallfoot-steps of last September's animated Yeti movie, this September's animated Yeti movie, Abominable, which inexplicably largely had the weekend to itself, opened to $20.6 million, a bit down from Smallfoot's $23.1 million. That film ultimately grossed $83.2 million, a pretty good goal for Abominable. And while Universal was obviously hoping for a better opening, it is an improvement on last month's opening of Dora and the Lost City of Gold and a huge jump from The Angry Birds Movie 2's first weekend. Plus, in a year that seemingly has been more dominated by franchises than ever, it does boast a completely original story, which isn't a small thing.
Abominable should hold up well for at least one more weekend, since it will continue to be the only kids movie in wide release until The Addams Family arrives next weekend and Maleficent: Mistress of Evil the weekend after that.
Last week's surprise smash Downton Abbey performed less like an older-skewing period drama and more like a sequel with a massive fan base that just had to see it opening weekend. It dropped nearly 54% to $14.3 million. That brings its 10-day total to $58.4 million. If the film can stabilize, it has a good shot of hitting $100 million.
One film that's definitely heading toward $100 million is Hustlers, which jumped from 5th to 3rd with $11.4 million. That brings its total to $80.6 million and should pass the century mark sometime in the next few weeks.
Staying steady in 4th is It: Chapter Two, which brought in $10.3 million. The horror flick has now earned $193.8 million and should pass $200 million in the next week or two. Holding up better than expected, though still slipping from 2nd to 5th is Ad Astra. The Brad Pitt in Space epic earned $10 million in its second weekend for a tend-day total of $35.4 million. It seems likely to top out between $50 million and $75 million, making it somewhat of a disappointment, though it should handily outgross last year's astronaut movie, First Man (and should also outgross competing astronaut movie Lucy in the Sky, which enters limited release this weekend).
Coming in 6th is Rambo: Last Blood, which took in $8.6 million for a ten-day total of $33.2 million. It seems destined to fade much more quickly than Ad Astra, but it does seem like a good bet to top 2008's Rambo's final gross of $42.8 million. If it is able to stabilize, it has a decent shot of outgrossing 1982's First Blood and 1988's Rambo III as well (usual disclaimer that ticket prices in the 80s were far cheaper than today, and that both First Blood and Rambo III sold far more tickets than Last Blood will).
Opening in 7th is Judy, the Judy Garland biopic starring Renee Zellweger in a comeback performance. Critics love her but were considerably more lukewarm on the film itself. It opened to a solid $2.9 million in semi-limited release. We'll see how it holds up as it goes wider this weekend.
Rounding out the Top 10 are three long-runners. Good Boys broke the $80 million barrier, to $80.4 million, with a weekend gross of $2.1 million. The Lion King spent weekend 11 in the Top 10, taking in $1.7 million, for a total of $540.1 million. Angel Has Fallen brought in $1.5 million for a total of $67.2 million.
Other than Judy's expansion, only one movie goes wide again this weekend: Joker, directed by Todd Phillips and starring Joaquin Phoenix in a portrait of the supervillian as a youngish man. Like Abominable mirrored the release last year of Smallfoot, Joker mirrors the release of Venom, another movie about a supervillian that largely turns him into an anti-hero, with his primary comic book opponent nowhere to be found. Joker has one advantage over Venom--it is getting much better reviews (and considerably more controversy than the relatively bland Spider-Man spinoff). It also has one disadvantage--it is rated R, as opposed to Venom's PG-13. The Tom Hardy vehicle opened last year to $80.3 million, setting an October record in the process. We'll see this weekend if Joker can top that.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Oct 9, 2019 15:21:54 GMT -5
Setting a new October record and proving once again that people will flock to R-rated comic book movies, Joker opened at #1 with $96.2 million. The controversial take on the early days of the Clown Prince of Crime has an opening higher than Justice League two years ago, and in fact had a better first weekend than Spider-Man: Far From Home had in July (though that movie opened on Tuesday). While reviewers weren't nearly as enamored as the jury at the Venice Film Festival (which awarded the film its top prize last month), it still got majority good reviews, and Joaquin Phoenix still remains a front-runner for a Best Actor nomination at the Oscars.
The three other recent major R-rated comic book movies (Deadpool, Logan, and Deadpool 2) all took in nearly 40% of their final grosses that opening weekend, which suggests a final gross for Joker of between $240 million and $275 million. That seems like enough to put in 2019's Top 10 grossers, a traditional perch for most live-action Batman films of the last 30 years.
Coming in a distant second is the animated Abominable, which held up decently, taking in $11.9 million for a ten-day total of $37.8 million. It's running a few million behind where Smallfoot was at this point last year, which makes it likely that this will finish somewhere between $70 and $75 million. Somewhat surprisingly, given that its a co-production with a Chinese animation studio, it has not been caught up in this week's controversy surrounding the NBA's kowtowing to the Chinese government, so it is unlikely to see its numbers significantly affected, if affected at all.
Downton Abbey continued its strong run by coming in third with $8 million, bringing its total to $73.6 million. While the film still has a shot at $100 million, it is likely to finish somewhat shy of that number. That said, this should be profitable enough that a Downton Abbey 2 in a few years should be a real possibility.
Hustlers will hit $100 million, though its rise is a bit slower than expected, especially given its enthusiastic reviews and strong opening. The film currently stands at $91.4 million after a $6.4 million weekend.
It: Chapter Two slipped past the $200 million mark, making $5.3 million for a total of $202.6 million. It seems likely to make another $10-20 million.
Judy had a decent expansion, as the biopic of The Wizard of Oz star in her final days took in $4.6 million for a ten-day total of $9.1 million. With Renee Zellweger a likely Oscar nominee for her performance as Ms. Garland, this might have stuck around for months a few years ago. Now, it's likely to be on DVD by the time nominations are announced.
Coming in 7th and 8th are two late-September disappointments, Ad Astra and Rambo: Last Blood. Astra took in $4.2 million for a total of $43.3 million, while Rambo earned $3.6 million for a total of $39.9 million. Both will be looking for overseas earnings to get them to profitability.
In a sign of how weak the bottom slots of the Top 10 are, the Indian action movie War came in 9th, despite playing in only 305 theaters. It's opening weekend total is $1.6 million. In tenth is the final summer movie left standing, Good Boys, which couldn't even garner a million over the weekend. It took in $0.9 million for $82 million. It barely finished ahead of the Chinese drama My People My Country, which opened in 67 theaters and sounds very much like propaganda about the awesomeness of the Chinese government, which probably means there's a decent chance that a good chunk of the opening weekend tickets were purchased by various NBA executives.
This weekend sees three wide releases, two of which will challenge Joker for the top spot. The Addams Family, the most successful component of The New Yorker Magazine Cinematic Universe, returns to theaters, boasting animation that resembles Charles Addams's original drawings rather than the 90s movies or the 60s TV show. Oscar Isaac and Charlize Theron voice Gomez and Morticia, leading an all-star cast. Gemini Man, directed by Ang Lee, no stranger himself to the The New Yorker Magazine Cinematic Universe (Brokeback Mountain started life as a story in the magazine), is a sci-fi actioner starring Will Smith as an aging government assassin who is targeted by a younger recruit who turns out to be his own clone. Smith also plays the clone, thanks to the de-aging technology that's also being employed in Martin Scorsese's The Irishman. Finally, Jexi is a comedy starring Adam DeVine as a schlub whose new phone's virtual assistant becomes unhealthily obsessed with him. While this blackly comic variant of Her is unlikely to garner high grosses, both Addams and Gemini should open upwards of $30 million. That probably won't be enough to take over #1, unless one greatly exceeds expectations while the comic book movie has a steeper fall than expected. We'll find out next weekend.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Oct 16, 2019 15:09:42 GMT -5
Joker has one of the best holds for a comic book movie in recent history, while a creepy, kooky retread's opening is not the least bit ooky.
Joker easily won its second weekend, taking in $55.9 million for a ten-day total of $193.6 million. It dropped a mere 42% from its opening weekend gross. Outside of the hold for Aquaman, whose second weekend was the always-incredibly lucrative weekend between Christmas and New Year's, this is the best second weekend hold for a comic book-inspired movie since Big Hero 6 nearly 5 years ago.
This kind of hold suggest that, despite the mixed critical reception, word of mouth is strong. A final gross north of $300 million now seems very likely, which would likely be enough to clinch a spot in the overall Top 10 of 2019.
Opening very well in second is The Addams Family, the first theatrical release involving the mysterious and spooky family since 1993's live-action Addams Family Values. The newly animated clan's $30.3 million debut is a higher weekend gross than either of the 90s movies had (though, of course, ticket prices in 1991/1993 were considerably lower than they are today). Gomez et al. will run into some competition this weekend, but with two more weekends before Halloween and no further animated competition until November, the Family is likely to top out above $100 million.
Opening rather inappropriately in third is Gemini Man, the second film of 2019 starring both Will Smith and a CGI version of Will Smith. Critics were not particularly kind to the action film, both criticizing the predictable story, the unconvincing effect work, and director Ang Lee's decision to shoot the film in 120 frames per second, which detractors point out makes the film look more like a soap opera than a movie, criticism that plagued Lee's last movie, the even-bigger flop Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk. Gemini, with its $20.6 million opening, has already easily outgrossed Billy Lynn, but unless word of mouth lifts this film, it's highly likely that Gemini's final total could end up being only slightly higher than Aladdin's second weekend.
With The Addams Family sucking up the family audiences, animation disappointment Abominable could only muster up $6.1 million for its third weekend, to bring its total to $47.9 million. In fifth, Downton Abbey brought in another $4.9 million, for a gross of $82.7 million. Hustlers is on the verge of passing the century mark, after a $3.9 million weekend brought its total to $98.1 million.
Judy added more theaters, which helped it maintain a decent hold, as it took in $3.2 million for a gross so far of $14.9 million. It: Chapter Two is looking like it won't get within $100 million of the first film, as it has now grossed $207.1 million after a $3.1 million weekend.
Getting dumped in 9th is Jexi, the barely promoted comedy about a boy and his phone's overly possessive personal assistant, which could only manage $3.1 million. That's the fourth-worse opening this year of any film debuting on more than 2,000 screens. With most theaters likely cutting showtimes this weekend, and then dumping the film entirely next weekend, Jexi might find it difficult to even double that opening gross.
Ad Astra edges out Rambo: Last Blood for the final spot in the Top 10, as the sci-fi adventure brought in $1.9 million, bringing its total to $47 million.
Opening with the top per-screen of the year so far is South Korean Palme d'Or winner Parasite, which took in $0.4 million on just three screens. Expect the film, which is expected to be a major Oscar player, to rack up some impressive grosses in the weeks and months ahead.
This weekend brings two new season-appropriate movies, both several-years-later sequels. Disney releases its first film since The Lion King in July with Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, a sequel to the 2014 hit that brings back Angelina Jolie as the wicked (or is she?) fairy. The original Maleficent grossed $241.4 million and more or less kicked off Disney's live-action remake craze, but the film has largely faded from the collective memory over the past few years. I'm definitely getting The Huntsman's Winter War vibes from this one. That said, even if it doesn't come close to topping the original's $69.4 million, it seems likely to have enough juice to debut at #1. Also opening is Zombieland: Double Tap, a ten-years-later sequel to the horror-comedy (emphasis on comedy) that brings back the entire original cast of the first one, including Emma Stone, whose career is considerably hotter than it was in 2009, and Bill Murray, as well as throwing in several more cameos and appearances. The first Zombieland opened to $24.7 million, which is likely the neighborhood this one will arrive in. Will Maleficent take the top spot? Will Zombieland surprise? Or could Joker play the biggest joke of all and three-peat? We'll find out next weekend
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Post by MarkInTexas on Oct 23, 2019 14:08:19 GMT -5
2014's Maleficent was a surprise hit for Disney. It grossed $241.4 million and generated some genuine Oscar talk for Angelina Jolie. And then, it more or less faded into irrelevance. That's why it was a surprise when Disney decided to go ahead with a very expensive sequel five years later.
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil is by no means the disaster that Alice Through the Looking Glass, a film that ultimately made less in its entire run than Alice in Wonderland made its opening weekend, was. But its still hard to overlook the rather large drop-off between Maleficent's $69.4 million and the new film's $37 million first weekend gross. Evil should be able to pull in over $100 million by the end of its run. But given that it is easily the most expensive film of the fall, its going to have to do extremely well overseas in order to justify the cost.
Joker continues to make solid money as it laughs its way to $29.3 million to bring its total to $247.3 million. At this point, it is already the 9th-highest-grossing R-rated film ever, and since it should top $300 million in the next few weeks, it should finish no worse than the 6th-highest R-rated film. I'm not sure if it has the $80 million left in its tank to surpass current #5 Deadpool 2 and current #4 It, but it might be close.
Opening decently in third is Zombieland: Double Tap, the latest many-years-later sequel to hit theaters. Opening almost one decade after the first film, Double Tap ended up just barely outgrossing the first film's opening weekend as it took in $26.8 million. Word of mouth may help, but with only one pre-Halloween weekend left, and major holiday movies beginning to open in two weeks, it seems likely that part 2 will finish somewhat below the first film's $75.6 million final.
The Addams Family held up relatively well in its second weekend, grossing $16.3 million for a ten-day total of $57.1 million. $100 million is doable, but it is likely going to be close.
Gemini Man did not hold up well at all, as it fell to $8.3 million for a ten-day gross of $36.3 million. Will Smith^2 is likely to just barely creep past $50 million. Smith continues to struggle, as he still hasn't had a hit not based on pre-sold material since Hancock over 11 years ago now.
In 6th, Abominable, which this week became the least likely movie of the year to turn out to be extremely controversial, took in $3.6 million to bring its disappointing total to $53.9 million. Downton Abbey brought in $3.1 million (which, under current exchange rates, translates to 2.4 million pounds) for a total of $88.6 million (or 68.8 million pounds). Judy has peaked, as it is beginning to lose theaters, but still took in $2.1 million for a total gross of $19.1 million. In the olden days, Judy would probably get a re-release around the time Oscar nominations are announced, but by this January, the film will almost certainly be on DVD.
Despite early optimism based on the reviews and word-of-mouth, Hustlers has turned out not to be all that leggy. Still, the film passed $100 million this weekend, as its $2 million brought its total to $101.9 million. It: Chapter Two begins to wrap up a somewhat disappointing run with $1.5 million, for a total of $209.6 million.
Right outside the Top 10, Parasite came within a couple hundred thousand of passing It to crash the top 10 (and was able to slip past the second weekend of flop comedy Jexi, which landed in 12th), despite being in Korean and playing in only 33 theaters. Assuming it hits more theaters this weekend, expect it to rise up and grab one of the lower spots. Farther down the chart saw stellar openings for two possible Oscar contenders, the oddball drama The Lighthouse and the Nazi comedy Jojo Rabbit. Lighthouse is probably too weird to be anything close to a mainstream hit, but Rabbit, could do well when it goes wide in the coming weeks.
Three new films open this weekend, but none of them seem strong enough to challenge the top trio as studios clear the deck ahead of November and the holiday movie season. Trying to make some quick bucks from Halloween audiences, Countdown is a horror/thriller about a woman who discovers, via an app, that she has only three days left to live. Black and Blue is a cop drama about an officer (Naomie Harris) who realizes that the killers she captured on film are corrupt cops. Finally, the long-delayed The Current War is a historical drama about the battle between Thomas Edison (Benedict Cumberbatch) and George Westinghouse (Michael Shannon) as to whose system of electrical delivery would become the prevailing standard (hint: the big New York electrical company is called ConEd, not ConWest). The best any of them can realistically hope for is fourth, and maybe even 5th, depending on how well The Addams Family holds up. We'll see which film emerges on top in the middle next weekend.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Oct 30, 2019 17:06:41 GMT -5
In a near-photo finish to a relatively quiet weekend at the box office, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil was able to hold off Joker to win the pre-Halloween weekend. Maleficent was able to conjure up $19.4 million, to bring the film's 10-day total to $66.3 million. Despite some family films on the horizon, it seems likely that Maleficent will survive Halloween and play decently into November, where it should top $100 million.
Coming in second is Joker, which continues its strong run toward $300 million. The clown prince of crime was able to snatch away another $19.3 million for a total of $277.9 million. While there is little chance of Joker becoming the highest-grossing R-rated domestic release, it has already passed Deadpool to become the highest-grossing R-rated worldwide release.
The Addams Family took advantage of the season to come in third, earning a spooky $12 million for an not-at-all ooky $73.1 million. The new family competition will likely hurt The Addams more than Maleficent, but a $100 million final gross is still on the table. Besides, the two Addams Family live-action films of the 90s were both Thanksgiving releases, so there's no reason to assume this will collapse after Halloween.
Addams edged out the second weekend of Zombieland: Double Tap, which took in $11.8 million for a ten-day total of $47.2 million. This is almost precisely where the first Zombieland was at the end of its second weekend. That said, Double Tap's second weekend is $3 million off its predecessor's second weekend, and the first film still had two more October weekends, while Double Tap will be hitting November and the holiday movies. It still seems unlikely that, ultimately, Double Tap will be able to equal the first film's grosses, but it shouldn't be too far off.
Opening at #5 was the horror flick Countdown, which took in $8.9 million. The best comparison for this might be last year's submarine thriller Hunter Killer. Though not a horror movie, it also opened right before Halloween, to similar numbers. It ended up topping out at only $15.8 million. With horror movies usually a one-weekend phenomenon and with Halloween past very soon, Countdown might be counting down to a similar gross.
The cop drama Black and Blue, perhaps the winner of this year's punniest title, opens in #6 with $8.4 million. Not being a horror movie, this one might end up with stronger legs than Countdown, though I suspect it will also come in under $20 million.
At #7, Gemini Man is looking very much like the flop of the fall. It grossed $4.1 million to bring its total to $43.4 million and is in real danger of coming in under $50 million.
The Lighthouse, the very odd, very arty black and white horror drama about two lighthouse keepers going slowly mad, expended to nearly 600 theaters and did a surprisingly strong $3 million. Its ten-day gross is now $3.6 million, and this successful semi-wide release will probably bolster the chances of Oscar nominations for stars Robert Pattinson and Willem Dafoe.
After a two-year delay, The Current War finally debuted in theaters, but had to settle for ninth and $2.6 million, despite playing on nearly twice as many screens as The Lighthouse. Unusual for a film receiving its initial release, it has been advertised as "The Director's Cut", in an attempt to recover from the poor reviews the original version received at the 2017 Toronto Film Festival. The new cut's reviews weren't really any better, though, so expect the War to end somewhere just above $5 million.
Rounding out the Top 10, animated disappointment Abominable proved to be anything but, taking in $2.1 million for a gross of $56.9 million.
The beginning of November also means that holiday movies start rolling out, though the first crop isn't particularly inspiring.. Leading the way is Terminator: Dark Fate, the fourth(!) attempt to do a follow-up to the first two films in the series. This one has been advertised by not only bringing back Arnold Schwarzenegger but also Linda Hamilton, as an older, even more badass Sarah Conner. Also coming back is James Cameron, who having had minimal involvement in Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines, Terminator: Salvation, and Terminator: Genisys, is back to produce and co-write the script (but not to direct). That doesn't seem to matter, as reviews have been marginal, and just how much interest do people still have in this franchise after so many failed reboots? Dark Fate will likely open better than Genisys, and almost certainly at #1, but I'd still expect it to finish below $50 million. Also opening is the animated Arctic Dogs, the biopic Harriet (as in Tubman) and Edward Norton-directed-and-starring 50s set detective drama Motherless Brooklyn. All three of these will likely finish under $10 million.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Nov 6, 2019 17:09:30 GMT -5
After three failed reboots, the thinking went, they had finally gotten the latest Terminator reboot correct. Not only was Schwarzenegger back, but so was Linda Hamilton and James Cameron (only writing and producing, but still, that's more involvement than he had with Rise of the Machines, Salvation, and Genisys). Finally, there would be a sequel worthy of the first two entries in the series.
Well, Judgement Day is here, and Terminator: Dark Fate met a fate much darker than anyone could have imagined. The film opened to $29 million, or barely half of what the most optimistic predictions were suggesting. To put that in prospective, Genisys earned $27 million over its first weekend in 2015. And even that's deceiving, because Genisys opened on a Wednesday, which would dilute its Friday-Sunday numbers, and its opening Saturday was the 4th of July, usually a relatively weak box office day. So, for all intents and purposes, Dark Fate actually opened worse than this franchise's last franchise killer. How Dark Fate performs from here is questionable. On paper, Frozen II, which is assuredly not going after the same audience, is the only guaranteed blockbuster of November, which gives Dark Fate some room for decent legs. But with Midway, Doctor Sleep, and Charlie's Angels providing near-direct competition in the coming weeks, there's a very good chance that Dark Fate's dark fate might be a gross lower than Genisys's $89.8 final.
Continuing its impressive run, Joker stayed in second with $13.5 million, bringing its total to $299.2 million. At this point, it seems likely to slip past the final gross of Suicide Squad, and will likely finish near, if not above Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice and Aquaman. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil also held up decently, slipped to third with $13.1 million. Its total stands at $85.2 million, and it will likely finish somewhere between $110 and $120 million.
Exceeding expectations, the biopic Harriet, starring potential Oscar nominee Cynthia Erivo as Harriet Tubman, opened to $11.7 million. With strong word-of-mouth and no other African-American-led movies opening until 21 Bridges arrives on the 22nd, Harriet could end up as a sleeper hit, with potential grosses of up to $50 million.
Even with Halloween past and a new animated movie in the marketplace, The Addams Family continued its solid run, taking in another $8.3 million for a gross of $85.1 million. The passing of Halloween didn't seem to affect Zombieland: Double Tap much, either, as it picked up $7.4 million for a total of $59.4 million, which is just over a million behind where Zombieland was after its third weekend.
For a horror movie released right before Halloween, Countdown had an extremely impressive hold for the first weekend of November, falling a mere 35% to $5.8 million. That gives it a 10-day total of $17.7 million. Countdown looks to be heading to between $25 and $30 million.
Not holding so well is police actioner Black and Blue, which fell a more conventional 51% to $4.1 million. That gives it a 10-day total of $15.5 million. It looks to be heading to $20 to $25 million.
Opening slightly better than expected in 9th is Edward Norton's neo-noir Motherless Brooklyn. The lavish-looking period drama took in $3.5 million, amid what looks to be a dump release. Unless this gets strong word of mouth, this one looks to finish with less than $10 million.
At least it outperformed the weekend's final wide release, the animated Arctic Dogs. The lightly advertised animated romp could only muster $2.9 million, which puts it nicely between The Goldfinch and Jexi in terms of disastrous openings of 2019. The flick, which manages to boast a "I wouldn't want to be in the same room as them" voice cast of Jeremy Renner, James Franco, and Alec Baldwin, seems destined to also finish below $10 million, putting it in the company of last year's dog flops Dog Days, A.X.L. and Sgt. Stubby.
Just below the Top 10, Parasite and Jojo Rabbit expanded their theater count and saw their grosses nicely jump, though Parasite might be looking at its peak. Meanwhile, The Lighthouse, which did unexpectedly strong business last weekend, saw its grosses decline, despite adding nearly 400 theaters, suggesting that negative word-of-mouth is beginning to get around.
Four new movies arrive this weekend, none of which look likely to be potential breakouts. The biggest opening is Doctor Sleep, the adaption of Stephen King's bestselling sequel to The Shining, about a now-grownup Danny Torrance, and his battles with an evil cult that likes to stalk people with the "shine". The movie version, logically enough, looks to be a sequel to Stanley Kubrick's adaption of The Shining rather than King's novel, as its advertising leans heavily on a promised return to the Overlook Hotel. Ewan McGregor plays Danny. While Doctor Sleep has the best chance of wining the weekend (albet with a gross of under $30 million), it will have competition from Midway, which appears to be Roland Emmerich's answer to Dunkirk (and which has attracted zero Oscar buzz, despite being a lavish WWII period piece), Last Christmas, a romcom starring Emila Clarke and Henry Golding (and directed by Paul Feig and written by Emma Thompson, who also co-stars), and the family comedy Playing With Fire, for which I'm hoping John Cena, Keegan-Michael Key, and Judy Greer got nice paychecks. We'll see if any of them can overcome soft expectations and deliver a solid win next weekend.
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oppy all along
TI Forumite
Who's been messing up everything? It was oppy all along
Posts: 2,767
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Post by oppy all along on Nov 13, 2019 6:08:30 GMT -5
Worldwide Box Office for November 8-101: Terminator: Dark Fate, $40,708,236, $199,365,366 (=, -60%) 2: Midway (2019), $39,455,419, $39,455,419 (NEW) 3: Joker, $29,521,303, $984,508,096 (=, -42%) 4: Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, $28,314,186, $429,534,087 (-2, -47%) 5: Doctor Sleep, $27,114,112, $34,018,569 (NEW) Hey, this is back. I was, like, super busy. I have new sources, more rows on my very cool and not at all sad Excel spreadsheet, and between applying for jobs and never hearing back from said jobs I have some free time on my hands. Here's a brief rundown of everything that's happened since late August.. - It: Chapter Two made $462m off a $79m budget, which is great but also an underperformance compared to what It Chapter One did with half the budget.
- Ad Astra failed to reach launch velocity, making $124m off a $80m budget and proving to Fox's new owners Disney that making expensive original, quality cinema for adults is a money loser.
- Hustlers made $144m off a $20m budget, proving that making responsibly budgeted original, quality cinema for adults can work.
- Joker made $984m (and counting) off a $55m-70m budget, proving that making moderately original, quality cinema for adults attached to an IP is big money.
- Arctic Dogs made $5.3m off a $50m budget, prompting movie analysts to go "wait, what? I've never heard of that before. You're saying this movie was released by Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures? That's not a real movie studio. It sounds like money laundering. I am in fact completely certain that this movie is a vehicle for money laundering."
Now to this week. Terminator: Dark Fate 'won' the weekend, barely holding off the war movie nobody saw coming. Financially, this movie is pretty boned. That $185m budget meant the movie needed to gross like a lower-tier MCU movie just to break even. As someone who saw the movie and liked it, I prefer to think of it as a creative team that united the legacy of the good Terminator movies with top up-and-coming new talent to send the Terminator franchise off with dignity. If this is the end for now, at least the last Terminator movie won't be Genisys. Midway (2019) is the surprise out of nowhere overperformer. Initially projected to gross well below other newcomers this week, it turns out everyone was looking for a movie to take their boomer dads out to see. Roland Emmerich really wanted to make a $100m war movie but no studio would back him up because there's no way it would make enough to justify that budget, so Roland Emmerich secured the funding himself. And... the movie studios were right, there's no way this is making enough to cover a $100m budget. But at least Roland got to make his movie and some boomer dads are happy on Veterans Day weekend. Speaking of out of nowhere overperformers, Joker is a week away from hitting a billion dollars. Credit to all the delusional fanboys who said Joker was going to make a billion dollars. You were... sigh... correct. I won't even complain when Joaquin Phoenix gets Best Actor at the Oscars, he did a hell of a job. Todd Phillips is still a douche though. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil is powering through a shaky opening and domestic haul by piling on the dollars overseas. A far cry from the original Maleficent ($758m off a $180m-$264m budget), the sequel is still getting a solid return from its $185m budget. Not going to be another Dumbo level flop, at least. And Doctor Sleep, the movie that was projected to easily win this weekend... well, didn't. Hence a lot of headlines about Doctor Sleep failing to wake the box office and all that. Despite getting solid reviews and audience response, there just hasn't been significant interest in this long-delayed sequel to The Shining. Also, my grandmother wasn't interested in seeing this movie. I'll see if I can get her into Knives Out. Under the top 5, Better Days grossed another $21m. This is a Chinese movie that was suddenly yanked from the schedule by the Chinese film censors. It was finally approved for release months later and has raked in just over $200m. The Addams Family (2019) is another overperformer, bringing in $17.3m and up to $155m in worldwide box office against a $40m budget. Two newcomers come in next; Playing With Fire (abysmal looking John Cena-led family comedy) at $15.2m and Last Christmas (Hallmark movie looking Emilia Clarke-led holiday romcom) at $14.5m. And Chinese romcom My Dear Liar wraps up the top ten with $13.8m. I tried to summarise this plot synopsis but I think it'd be better to just copy/paste the whole thing. "In order to rescue his 6 years old son who is suffering from asthma with his friend Zhong Zhenjiang (Zhang Zixian)’s incitement, Wuhai (Da Peng) gets close to a low class Cam girl Miaomiao (Liu Yan) on purpose. And he determines to trap her into a marriage scam."Yup. Next week, we have two good ol' boys teaming up to give Ferrari what for in Ford v Ferrari, and three badarse chicks teaming up to give the patriarchy what for in Charlie's Angels (2019). Also, Ian Mckellen is an elderly conman swindling his way into Helen Mirren's bed and fortune in The Good Liar, and the definitely not money laundering Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures brings us All Rise, a Sundance drama from 2018 they're releasing wide across America because... money laundering. 2019 Worldwide Box Office1: Avengers: Endgame (=) / Walt Disney, $2,795,473,0002: The Lion King (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,642,152,0683: Spider-Man: Far From Home (+1) / Sony Pictures, $1,131,783,3534: Captain Marvel (-1) / Walt Disney, $1,126,129,8395: Toy Story 4 (+1) / Walt Disney, $1,070,948,8576: Aladdin (2019) (-1) / Walt Disney, $1,038,059,2167: Joker (NEW) / Warner Bros., $985,826,6088: Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (+1) / Universal, $758,749,9199: Nezha (-1), Beijing Enlight Media / $708,797,19710: The Wandering Earth (-3) / China Film Group Corporation, $692,163,684There's been some movement in the chart. Spider-Man: Far From Home and Toy Story 4 go up one, Captain Marvel and Aladdin (2019) go down one, Joker rockets up the charts, and Hobbs & Shaw pulls ahead of the two Chinese movies Nezha and The Wandering Earth. And we finally say goodbye to How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World. They're not gone, just hiding in 11th. At least the top 10 is set now... until Frozen 2 comes out in two weeks and The Wandering Earth probably wanders away.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Nov 13, 2019 15:48:25 GMT -5
Welcome back, oppy all along! Now to focus exclusively on North American box office: The holiday movie season is in full swing, but there's just one problem: apparently, no one informed the nation's moviegoers that the holiday movie season has even started. Midway was the surprise box office champion this weekend, though it would be a mistake to label the victory of Roland Emmerich's answer to Dunkirk any kind of triumph. It won basically by default, as it did about as expected while the competition did much worse than expected. Midway's $17.9 million is both the worst total for a #1 movie since Angel Has Fallen's second weekend over Labor Day and the worst total for a film debuting at #1 since Jigsaw more than two years ago. That said, Midway is the type of movie whose audience might not rush out and see it right away, and it could play well through at least Thanksgiving weekend. A final gross north of $50 million seems unlikely, but if word of mouth is stronger than the reviews, that is not out of the question. Apparently hitting the snooze button this weekend was Doctor Sleep, which as noted above, finished at least $10 million below expectations, opening to $14.1 million. The marketing department did everything short of putting footage of Jack Nicholson yelling "Here's Johnny!" in the trailer to hype up the connection to The Shining, but it turns out that not that many people were all that interested in finding out how Danny Torrance was doing 40 years later. The Shining is estimated to have made around $44 million in 1980. With the dropoff that most horror movies get, Doctor Sleep will be lucky if it gets within $10 million of that total. Opening a bit better than expected in third is the family comedy Playing With Fire, in which John Cena, Keegan-Michael Key, John Leguizamo, and Judy Greer all hopefully cashed nice big checks to play a firefighting unit that has to babysit three precocious girls. The comedy grossed $12.7 million and has a good chance to pull off another decent weekend before singing Norwegian sisters arrive to douse the fire with ice. Releasing a Christmas movie this early in November is always a risky prospect (for every Santa Clause or Elf, there are numerous Fred Clauses or Nutcracker and the Four Realms), and Last Christmas was also probably hurt by the widespread coverage that its twist got right before opening. Still, its surprising that the romcom was only able to pull in $11.4 million. What might help is that, save for December horror flick Black Christmas, there are no other Christmas-specific movies out this holidays season, which might give Last Christmas some legs. I'd be more confident if it was, say, 2003, when Love Actually was able to overcome an even worse opening (admittedly, on a fraction of the number of screens Last Christmas has) to finish with nearly $60 million, though. Its title proving grimly prophetic, Terminator: Dark Fate slipped from first to fifth with a gross of $10.8 million, putting its ten-day at $48.5 million. It is now more than $20 million behind where Terminator: Genisys was at the end of its second weekend. At this point, Dark Fate is looking at a final fate of under $75 million. After 5 weeks in the Top 3, the onslaught of new releases has sent Joker falling to sixth, with $9.2 million. The film has now grossed $313.5 million and still looks to be heading to a final gross between $330 and $340 million. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil took in $8.4 million for a total of $97.7 million. It should pass $100 million in the next few days. Harriet held up decently in its second weekend, earning $7.4 million for a ten-day total of $23.6 million. It looks to be heading over $30 million at a minimum. Zombieland: Double Tap brought in $4.3 million for a total of $66.6 million, as its looking very likely to finish within a few million of what the first one brought in. Rounding out the Top 10, The Addams Family took in $4.2 million to bring its total to $91.4 million. Three new films go wide this week, at least two of which should, in theory, have no trouble finishing at 1 and 2. Likely heading for a weekend win is Ford v. Ferrari, a dramatization of the effort by Ford Motors to build a racecar that could beat a Ferrari at the Le Mans race in 1966, with Matt Damon as the designer and Christian Bale as the driver. Excellent reviews and strong Oscar buzz should send this to an opening above $30 million. Charlie's Angels is an effort to reboot the franchise, which other than a short-lived TV revival, has been on ice since the 2003 sequel with Drew Barrymore and Cameron Diaz flopped. Elizabeth Banks directs and co-stars, with Kristen Stewart as the only new Angel familiar to most viewers. Reviews are better than expected, but buzz has been quiet. Also surprisingly quiet is the buzz on The Good Liar, which stars Ian McKellon as an aging conman whose new mark is a wealthy widow played by Helen Mirren. But could he actually be falling for her for real? And is she truly on the up-and-up? On paper, this thriller, directed by Bill Condon, re-teaming with McKellan for the fourth time (after Gods and Monsters, Mr. Holmes, and Beauty and the Beast), should be an Oscar contender. Its apparently not, though, as reviews are about as good as the ones for Charlie's Angels. We'll see if Ford can roar to the top, if Charlie can surprise, or if Midway manages to repeat next weekend. |
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Post by oppy all along on Nov 20, 2019 4:44:08 GMT -5
Worldwide Box Office for November 15-171: Ford vs Ferrari, $52,874,958, $52,874,366 (NEW) 2: Charlie's Angels, $27,651,109, $27,651,109 (NEW) 3: Joker, $18,338,389, $1,016,309,593 (=, -38%) 4: Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, $16,700,000, $458,556,336 (=, -41%) 5: Last Christmas, $15,093,930, $35,349,348 (+3, +4%) This week was a blessing to box office headline writers, as Ford v Ferrari wins the race speeds past the competition laps the competition races out of the blocks does better than expected. For the second weekend in a row, the dad movie outperforms all expectations as Matt Damon and Christian Bale show those fancy punks at Ferrari who's boss in a big car race. While another big budget original movie Ad Astra was a thoughtful deconstruction of modern masculinity, Ford v Ferrari is a brilliantly put together beer-chugging monster truck of unadulterated MANPOWER. And as such it is of course vaguely hostile to Europeans. Also, A+ CinemaScore, which indicates that the target audience for this movie really fucking loved it and often means the movie does well over a long period of time. Finally, one of the movies Disney picked up from Fox actually did well. In the other headline pun of the week, Charlie's Angels fell out of heaven lost its wings didn't take flight did very poorly. For some reason, rebooting a long-dormant 00s franchise with a cast of not really very well-known people and slashing the promotional budget and not screening the movie for critics until the day it came out didn't work. Writer/director/co-star Elizabeth Banks had another take on it, suggesting prior to the film's release that the movie had to succeed or else the stereotype that men don't see women in action movies would be fulfilled. And of course people reacted to this in a totally rational and proportional way. I mean, I'm not saying she's right, but people get so mad when a woman suggests something might be a gender thing. And by people I mean a certain reactionary group of very online men. This was with China release as well, so China's not coming to save this mess. Stop rebooting forgotten media properties it doesn't work you may as well at least try something original. In holdovers from last week, Joker and Maleficent: Mistress of Evil both held well enough to keep 3/4 as movies around them dropped like rocks. Joker is the newest member of the billion dollar club, and all the more notable for doing it without China. Joker hit everywhere (except China), racking up incredible non-China international box office. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil powers along as well, keeping on track for a dignified if not spectacular finish of above or around $500m off a $180m budget. Rounding out the top 5 is Last Christmas, riding the wave of an expansion into new territories including Great Britain where the movie's set. This is very early for a Christmas movie. I'd say they were dodging the Christmas rush of Star Wars: The Last Jedi and Jumanji: The Next Level, but this still puts them up against Frozen 2. It's not easy getting a smaller movie out there these days. At least Last Christmas only cost... $30m to make? Oh boy. Terminator: Dark Fate sits just outside the top 5 with $14.9m. Another 60+% drop. Just because diversity makes money, it doesn't mean you can slap women and people of colour in front of a dead franchise and it magically makes everyone go see it. I mean, I'll go see it, but I'm representive of a very small and very obnoxious segment of the market. Midway is another heavy drop, shedding 65% to land at $13.7m. It's not a surprise that the war movie overperforms on Veterans Day weekend and crashes back to Earth as society goes back to ignoring veterans just as hard as the VA does. Somewhere Winter is a Chinese romance movie that stifled Charlie's Angel's China release, coming in at $13.3m. Doctor Sleep flops to 9th with a 59% drop, landing at $11.2m. And in 10th, hey, Playing With Fire is still there at $9.6m. With a surprisingly solid domestic showing and the whole world to expand into, this could be a sleeper money maker for John Cena and Paramount. Paramount needs the win guys, in the last two months they've released Gemini Man and Terminator: Dark Fate. It's bad. This week we have 21 Bridges, an action thriller where Chadwick Boseman is an NYPD Detective on a manhunt for two cop killers. We have A Beautiful Day in The Neighbourhood, where Tom Hanks engraves his name in the Best Supporting Actor Oscar by playing Mister Rogers. And, oh yeah, Frozen 2. Disney took a couple months off to launch a streaming service now they're coming back for that box office. 2019 Worldwide Box Office1: Avengers: Endgame (=) / Walt Disney, $2,795,473,0002: The Lion King (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,641,802,5603: Spider-Man: Far From Home (=) / Sony Pictures, $1,131,783,3534: Captain Marvel (=) / Walt Disney, $1,126,129,8395: Toy Story 4 (=) / Walt Disney, $1,070,989,9836: Aladdin (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,038,059,2167: Joker (=) / Warner Bros., $1,016,309,5938: Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (=) / Universal, $758,772,0899: Nezha (=), Beijing Enlight Media / $708,797,19710: The Wandering Earth (=) / China Film Group Corporation, $692,163,684No movement this week, though we're at the stage of the year where it'll take massive box office to break into the top 10. No participation awards for Maleficent: Mistress of Evil pulling in a cool half-bil in November, just a lot of money for Disney. Joker becomes the seventh movie of the year to hit a billion dollars, which is nice because otherwise it would be entirely Disney and Disney affiliates. Joey Phoenix will probably be moving past Aladdin and maybe Toy Story by the end of his run. And now the market waits for Frozen 2 and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker. Oh, and Cats. It's gonna be the 10th billion dollar movie of the year, I'm calling it now.
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Post by Ben Grimm on Nov 20, 2019 10:26:17 GMT -5
In the other headline pun of the week, Charlie's Angels fell out of heaven lost its wings didn't take flight did very poorly. For some reason, r ebooting a long-dormant 00s franchise with a cast of not really very well-known people and slashing the promotional budget and not screening the movie for critics until the day it came out didn't work. Writer/director/co-star Elizabeth Banks had another take on it, suggesting prior to the film's release that the movie had to succeed or else the stereotype that men don't see women in action movies would be fulfilled. And of course people reacted to this in a totally rational and proportional way. I mean, I'm not saying she's right, but people get so mad when a woman suggests something might be a gender thing. And by people I mean a certain reactionary group of very online men. This was with China release as well, so China's not coming to save this mess. Stop rebooting forgotten media properties it doesn't work you may as well at least try something original. It's not just rebooting a dormant 2000s franchise, it's one of those dreaded films that was adapted from a 70s TV series. It makes about as much sense as making a new Starsky and Hutch movie. |
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Post by MarkInTexas on Nov 22, 2019 11:12:53 GMT -5
In a rare (for this day and age) triumph of an original story over IP, Ford v. Ferrari scored an easy #1 at the box office this weekend, opening to $31.5 million, the best opening weekend of November so far and the best opening for a film not connected to an existing franchise since Hustlers back in September. Like that film, it earned strong reviews, and is likely to garner excellent word of mouth, which will likely come in handy over the upcoming long Thanksgiving weekend and on into December. While a final gross north of $100 million isn't guaranteed, it seems much more likely than not.
Finishing a distant second was last week's champion, Midway, which fell a bit more than half to $8.5 million. That puts its 10-day total at $34.9 million. Whether it can top $50 million will largely depend on how it holds up over the next couple of weeks.
Bombing hard in third is the redo of Charlie's Angels, which could only scrape up $8.4 million. This is likely to be a massively expensive disaster, and will probably finish under $25 million.
Angels was barely able to hold off family comedy Playing With Fire, which finished fourth with $8.3 million. Its ten-day total is $25.3 million, and looks to be heading north of $40 million.
Last Christmas held up OK for fifth, earning $6.5 million for a ten-day total of $22.4 million. Collapsing into sixth is Doctor Sleep, which could only come up with $6 million for a ten-day of $24.9 million.
Opening in 7th is The Good Liar, which didn't get the reviews it would needed to be a potential breakout hit. The very British drama opened to $5.6 million, but probably has a better chance than just about anything in the current Top 10 outside of Ford v. Ferrari to develop a decent set of legs. Still, it will be a surprise if this ultimately tops $20 million.
Joker earned another $5.3 million to run its total to $322.3 million. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil took in $4.9 million for a total of $105.7 million. Harriet rounded out the Top 10 with $4.6 million for a total of $31.7 million.
Three major titles arrive for the pre-Thanksgiving weekend, though which newcomer will be #1 is a done deal. Frozen II isn't getting the greatest of reviews, but the animated sequel is pretty much guaranteed to dominate, most likely with an opening over $100 million. Competing with Ford vs Ferrari for the remaining moviegoers is A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, about the relationship between a cynical journalist, played by Matthew Rhys, and children's show host Fred Rogers--yes, that Fred Rogers. Like Ford v. Ferrari, it seems designed more for long-term play than a big opening, so expect it to be competing with the car-racing drama for second. The weekend's wild card is the cop drama 21 Bridges, which marks Chadwick Boseman's first starring role since Black Panther. Will starring in three of the biggest films of all time the last two years help raise the profile of his latest project? Will Frozen II be able to open the door to a nine-digit opening? We'll find out next weekend.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Nov 27, 2019 17:32:26 GMT -5
As expected, Frozen II melted away its competition, bursting out of the gate with a remarkable $130.3 million opening. That puts it at #3 for all time animated openings, behind only Finding Dory and Incredibles II, at at #5 for November openings, behind three Twilights and The Hunger Games: Catching Fire. Just how much it could ultimately make is an open question. That it will earn at least $300 million is a given, and it will almost certainly also pass $400 million. Indeed, with largely an open playing field until at least mid-December, it should at least equal Toy Story 4's $434 million at a minimum. Outside of Playmobil in two weeks, which shouldn't be any sort of threat, there isn't another animated movie opening this holiday season until Spies in Disguise on Christmas Day. At the very least, with both this and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker almost certain to exceed the final gross of Spider-Man: Far From Home, it's pretty much up to Jumanji: The Next Level to keep 2019's Top 6 to be a clean sweep for Disney.
Coming in a very distant second is Ford v Ferrari, which lost a surprisingly large amount of its opening weekend business. It made $15.7 million in its second weekend for a 10-day total of $57.7 million. It is still likely to make over $100 million, especially if it has a strong Thanksgiving weekend performance, but might not get far past that.
Opening in third is A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, the drama about the relationship between Mr. Rogers and a cynical reporter. Day's opening was a mild disappointment at $13.3 million. With the excellent reviews, this one should have good word-of-mouth, which will likely give it some decent legs going forward.
Disappointing in 4th is the cop thriller 21 Bridges, which could only manage $9.3 million, despite starring Chadwick Boseman. Unfortunately, like a lot of MCU stars, his popularity appears to be largely limited to MCU movies. With mixed reviews and an R rating, this is probably not going to factor into many families' weekend moviegoing plans.
Rounding out the Top 5 is Midway, which pulled in another $4.6 million for a total gross of $43.1 million. It should pass $50 million in the next couple of weeks. In sixth, family comedy Playing With Fire burned up another $4.5 million for a total of $31.5 million. This looks to be heading to around $40 million total.
Having, surprisingly enough, the best hold in the Top 10 is The Good Liar, which took in $3.4 million for a ten-day total of $11.8 million. This one could make it to $20 million, but is likely to come up short. Meanwhile, having the worst hold, not surprisingly enough, is the disastrous reboot of Charlie's Angels, which is making Doctor Sleep and Terminator: Dark Fate look like smashes in comparison. The actioner brought in only $3.2 million for a ten-day total of $14 million, or about what was expected to be the worst case scenario for the opening weekend.
In ninth, Last Christmas won't be lasting until Christmas, as it took in $3.1 million for a total of $27.9 million under the tree. Rounding out the Top 10, Joker spent what will likely be its final weekend on the chart earning $2.8 million for an outstanding $326.9 million.
Frozen II will win the weekend again, but two new titles are out wide today in hopes of picking up some of the holiday box office. Knives Out is a good old-fashioned whodunit, with Daniel Craig as an eccentric detective trying to figure out which member of a wealthy, dysfunctional family knocked off patriarch Christopher Plummer. Among the suspects are Chris Evans, Jamie Lee Curtis, and Michael Shannon. This one probably owes its existence to the success of Murder on the Orient Express two years ago, which also had a strong ensemble of well-known character actors as the various potential murderers. That film opened to nearly $30 million. With stiffer competion and a title that isn't nearly as well-known, I'd be surprsed if Knives Out opened that big, but we'll see. Meanwhile, the drama Queen & Slim stars Oscar nominee Daniel Kaluuya and Jodie Turner-Smith as two people whose first date turns horrific when a traffic stop escalates into tragedy. This one seems likely to attract a primarily African-American audience, which could sink the film or turn it into a sleeper hit. I'd bet on the latter.
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Post by oppy all along on Nov 28, 2019 7:13:42 GMT -5
Worldwide Box Office for November 22-241: Frozen II / Walt Disney, $353,463,358, $353,463,358 (NEW) 2: Ford v Ferrari / 20th Century Fox, $30,430,678, $103,520,248 (-1, -42%) 3: A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood / Sony Pictures, $13,251,238, $13,251,238 (NEW) 4: 21 Bridges / STX Entertainment, $11,980,117, $11,980,117 (NEW) 5: Joker / Warner Bros., $10,346,029, $1,035,666,813 (-2, -44%) Alright, I'm just now hearing what Disney thinks of Joker's success over the last two months. They said it's cute. Frozen II opens with the fifth biggest worldwide weekend this year (behind Captain Marvel's opening weekend, The Lion King's opening weekend, and the first two weekends of Avengers: Endgame) and already looks set to become Disney's sixth billion dollar movie this year. And don't forget the following entry... Disney also has Ford v Ferrari. With their acquisition of Fox, they now have the capacity to dominate the box office with a family oriented blockbuster and counterprogram against their own blockbuster with an adult-oriented hit that's going to the Oscars. Also they still have a Star Wars movie coming. Also they launched Disney Plus. Also Baby Yoda is already greenlit for a solo series and three feature films probably. So yeah. This video accurately summarises how things are going right now. And now to Disney's competition. Sony launched A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood in North America to an... alright opening. You know, it's more of an awards season contender than a box office tentpole. And a feel-good movie like this should hold well Thanksgiving weekend. If this movie does as well during awards season as Sony hopes it will, we'll see it back in the box office for a second run. 21 Bridges launched this week as well, demonstrating again that MCU leads may be bigshots in the Avengers universe but have trouble translating this to box office hits elsewhere. The Russos and Chadwick Boseman have a combined box office of billions but even combined they can't launch a mid-range adult hit with no IP and middling to negative reviews. Cut to them wiping away their tears with hundred dollar bills. And Joker is still around, showing there is room for non-Disney movies out there... as long as it's at least vaguely affiliated with capeshit. Joker has had a long tail, helped by a long succession of adult-oriented releases flopping. Or did they flop because Joker was holding well? I dunno, but it probably doesn't matter for Gemini Man, Terminator: Dark Fate, Doctor Sleep, and Charlie's Angels. Joker has a fat stack of bills and they don't. Midway and Last Christmas held well - $10m and $9.7m respectively. Midway hit $100m worldwide and Last Christmas hit $50m, two movies that show you don't need the biggest IP or the best reviews to make money. You just need to know your market and promote heavily to them, whether they be the older men in your family or the older women in your family. Charlie's Angels sank like a rock, only making $7.8m and shedding 72% of their box office. That's Hellboy levels of box office failure. Don't worry, Elizabeth Banks has already failed upwards. And Charlie's Angels was real fun and you guys missed out. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil made $7.1m and is coming towards the end of its run, and it did pretty well. Terminator: Dark Fate made $6.8m and is coming towards the end of its run, and it did not do pretty well. If you're headed to the movies this weekend we have a few original, adult-oriented movies rebelling against Elsa's reign of box office terror. Knives Out is a wonderful whodunit which is the latest high quality genre movie to explore 'what if rich people are actually shit'. Queen & Slim is an African-American centred romantic thriller about two nice people on a first date who end up on the run due to the intersection of law enforcement and violent white supremacy. Tom Hanks as Mister Rogers is also hanging around to try and make an impact in its second week as well. Vote with your wallet. Or go see Frozen II because Disney makes pop culture crack. No judgement here. 2019 Worldwide Box Office1: Avengers: Endgame (=) / Walt Disney, $2,795,473,0002: The Lion King (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,642,118,5823: Spider-Man: Far From Home (=) / Sony Pictures, $1,131,723,4554: Captain Marvel (=) / Walt Disney, $1,126,129,8395: Toy Story 4 (=) / Walt Disney, $1,071,010,2236: Aladdin (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,038,059,2167: Joker (=) / Warner Bros., $1,035,666,8138: Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (=) / Universal, $758,789,2809: Nezha (=), Beijing Enlight Media / $708,797,19710: The Wandering Earth (=) / China Film Group Corporation, $692,163,684No changes this week, but Joker is on the rise and Frozen II is coming. It's becoming time for The Wandering Earth to wander away. Nezha is probably going to drop out by the end of the year as well leaving China without any top 10 hits. The last (only?) time they've placed in the end of year top 10 is in 2017 with Wolf Warrior II which was not subtle about it's pro-China leanings at all. It's on Netflix if you're interested.
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Post by Desert Dweller on Nov 29, 2019 23:06:09 GMT -5
Knives Out is a wonderful whodunit which is the latest high quality genre movie to explore 'what if rich people are actually shit'.
I have to say, I am rather enjoying this 2019 movie theme. Lots of movies about how capitalism sucks, class warfare, "rich people are shit", etc. From a surprisingly wide variety of movies!
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Post by oppy all along on Dec 2, 2019 22:06:19 GMT -5
Worldwide Box Office November 29-December 11: Frozen II / Walt Disney, $249,777,773, $739,708,864 (=, -29%) 2: Knives Out / Lionsgate, $55,069,548, $69,714,093 (NEW) 3: Ford v Ferrari / 20th Century Fox, $23,368,306, $143,031,328 (-1, -23%) 4: Two Tigers / Emperor Film Production, $18,900,000, $18,998,985 (NEW) 5: Queen & Slim / Universal, $11,890,490, $16,000,790 (NEW) Frozen II fever strikes again! The Thanksgiving weekend was big for just about everyone, but Frozen II soared to new heights something something into the unknown. Except it's not really into the unknown because Disney has so many billion dollar movies this year. Frozen II's box office dominance is so significant that there's now an antitrust lawsuit in Korea accusing Disney of monopolising movie theatres. Disney are, of course, shocked and appalled anyone would accuse them of such. There will probably be a more significant drop next week but Frozen II will have no problem crossing the billion dollar mark. In a surprising (and in my opinion delightful) twist, Knives Out significantly outperformed expectations over the holiday weekend. I saw it on Friday, this movie is excellent. It adds a bunch of new territories this upcoming week and will be doing a staggered roll-out over the next couple of months, so Knives Out is in a strong position to make money and bring a franchise of Benoit Blanc movie mysteries into existence. Ford v Ferrari had a strong weekend as well, more domestically than internationally. While there are a few markets left to open in, Ford v Ferrari has proven to largely be a domestic player. Fox/Disney is also angling Ford v Ferrari towards the Oscars as well, with a couple of technical nominations and maybe even a Best Picture nomination in the cards. So this could be due for an Oscar bump in January as well. Working against this movie is the weighty budget, but given the spotty track record of adult dramas and Fox movies lately this is a win. From the Chinese market we have Two Tigers, a dark comedy drama about a bumbling man kidnapping a wealthy businessman. Then the businessman turns the table on the young fellow and... they end up working together on three tasks? *shrugs* It's playing here on the movie theatre that imports a lot of Asian movies, maybe I'll check it out. Okay I probably won't but it looks interesting. And in another surprising twist, Queen & Slim slightly outperformed estimates to just land in 5th. The movie is generating more Twitter discourse than box office, but this is still a solid return for a movie written, directed, and starring African-Americans about police violence against minority communities. This is just domestic as well, so the film still potential overseas. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood picked up some Thanksgiving dollars as well in a close 6th place, bringing in $11.7m in North America. This is another Oscar hopeful which will be rolling out overseas in the weeks to come and will be hoping for some nominations to propel it forward. Last Christmas is still picking up business with a 2% rise this weekend (fittingly, as it's just now December) and brought in $10.0m this weekend. It still has some territories to open in, so we'll see how Russia, Korea, Mexico, and Japan feel about holiday romcoms with a big plot twist at the end that most people seem to have predicted ahead of time. 21 Bridges continues to not do great, grossing $7.5m over the holiday weekend and looking like it doesn't have much left in the tank. Midway hangs in there at $6.6m, adding more onto an unexpectedly solid box office total. And Joker is still dancing with another $6.5m as it starts working to pass some of the lower-tier Disney billionaire movies. 2019 Worldwide Box Office*I'm using an alternate source this week, so the numbers will jump around a bit before settling next week. Everyone has different international totals, it's hard to finagle.1: Avengers: Endgame (=) / Walt Disney, $2,797,800,5642: The Lion King (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,655,366,6533: Spider-Man: Far From Home (=) / Sony Pictures, $1,131,927,9964: Captain Marvel (=) / Walt Disney, $1,128,274,7945: Toy Story 4 (=) / Walt Disney, $1,073,392,1256: Aladdin (2019) (=) / Walt Disney, $1,050,693,9537: Joker (=) / Warner Bros., $1,046,904,1118: Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw (=) / Universal, $758,790,7529: Frozen II (NEW) / Walt Disney, $739,708,86410: Nezha (-1) / Beijing Enlight Media / $708,797,197Frozen II has entered the race! We say goodbye to The Wandering Earth, which has been sitting pretty in the chart since a massive debut in Chinese New Year. Nezha is the final Chinese movie on the list, which is probably going to be swept away by Jumanji 2 or Star Wars 9 or Cats. Cats is still coming guys. Due to differences in sources, Joker will take another week to pass Aladdin but it's getting there. And who knows how high Frozen II is going to get. Quiet week post-Thanksgiving, there are two smaller movies coming out. The Aeronauts is Amazon's awards season play that looks to have fallen short of the mark already, but is a biographical movie about daredevil hot air balloon flying people played by Felicity Jones (Rogue One) and Eddie Redmayne (the bad Harry Potter movies and no I don't care if you're about to do some 'they're all bad' riff the new ones are clearly worse). And there is also Playmobil: The Movie, which... what market research said this was a good idea? Nevertheless it's coming, so everyone cross their fingers and hope STX doesn't lose all the money they still had left after 21 Bridges. Man, STX got super lucky with Hustlers.
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Post by Nudeviking on Dec 2, 2019 23:51:50 GMT -5
Frozen II fever strikes again! The Thanksgiving weekend was big for just about everyone, but Frozen II soared to new heights something something into the unknown. Except it's not really into the unknown because Disney has so many billion dollar movies this year. Frozen II's box office dominance is so significant that there's now an antitrust lawsuit in Korea accusing Disney of monopolising movie theatres. Disney are, of course, shocked and appalled anyone would accuse them of such. There will probably be a more significant drop next week but Frozen II will have no problem crossing the billion dollar mark. A lot of that seems like sour grapes to me when you consider the fact that in the year in which Endgame wrecked shop on every movie metric known to humanity it was only the second most watched movie in South Korea behind a domestic action comedy about cops opening a fried chicken restaurant to bust a drug smuggling ring and Parasite somehow entered the top ten (?) highest grossing films globally for the week it was released domestically (in a nation with a total population of 51 million). If you look at the list of number one movies week by week in Korea you'll see that it's pretty easily distributed between domestic films and American blockbusters in terms of numbers of films and moneys earned so it's not like this is some trend where it has become impossible for domestic films to get wide theatrical releases because of Disney or anything. Finally one of the main complainants just happens to be the director of the current number two movie in the country (an R-rated movie about political corruption which was never going to beat an all ages family film regardless of what country it originated from). It's a movie that was the number one movie before Frozen 2 hit the scene so I can't help to think that a lot of this dude's motivation is "Wahhhh people don't want to see my tense political thriller instead of a family movie about wizard shit and maybe lesbians!" more than anything else. |
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Post by MarkInTexas on Dec 4, 2019 15:21:03 GMT -5
In one of the more surprising results I've seen lately, 8 of the Top 10 films over the very commercial, very franchise-attracting long Thanksgiving weekend were original, non-franchise films. Of course, the two franchise entries that bookended the Top 10 will make far more than any of those other 8, but hey, beggars can't be choosers.
Of course, the #1 film by far is very much a franchise entry. Frozen II crushed the competition, taking in $125 million over the five-day weekend. That brings its 10-day total to $288.5 million. By comparison, the first Frozen had "only" made $134.3 million by the end of its second wide weekend. By further comparison, Frozen II has already topped the final domestic grosses of every Disney Thanksgiving film released between Frozen and Frozen II (Big Hero 6, The Good Dinosaur, Moana, Coco, Ralph Breaks the Internet). Right now, it's running about even with Finding Dory, well ahead of Toy Story 4, but behind Incredibles II. It remains to be seen how Frozen navigates December, but it's probably a good bet to top Dory to become the second-highest-grossing animated film of all time.
Frozen wasn't hogging all the cold cash, though. Opening far better than expected was the murder mystery Knives Out, which rode near-unanimous raves and a strong cast (including Daniel Craig, Christopher Plummer, Jamie Lee Curtis, Chris Evans, and Don Johnson, who between this and Watchmen is having a hell of a year) to a whopping $41.4 5-day total. Strong word-of-mouth should help Knives climb north of $100 million, and if the film can hang on until Christmas week, it could possibly go as high as $150 million.
Roaring into 3rd is Ford v Ferrari, which drove off with another $19 million over the long weekend. It currently stands at $81 million, and should top $100 million sometime in the next couple of weeks. In 4th is A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, which took in $17.3 million to bring its ten-day total to $34.3 million. The century mark seems unlikely for Neighborhood, but again, strong word of mouth through December could give the title a boost.
Opening well at #5 was the drama Queen & Slim, which also over-performed, taking in $16 million. The obvious point of comparison is last year's The Hate U Give, which also revolved around a confrontation between a white cop and young African-American man where someone ends up dead. Hate finished with $29.7 million, despite being based on a popular YA novel and being rated PG-13. Queen is likely to top that, despite being an original story and being rated R.
The numbers drop off pretty fast after this, but still, these films deserve commendation for still being in the Top 10 while much more hyped franchise titles like Terminator: Dark Fate, Doctor Sleep, and Charlie's Angels are already long gone. At 6th, 21 Bridges is still a disappointment, but after a $7.7 million long weekend, it's not looking as disappointing, as its gross is now at $19.2 million after ten days. Playing With Fire, in 7th, managed to get enough family audiences away from Frozen to earn $6.1 million, now stands at $39.2 million. A final gross over $10 million seems likely.
In 8th, Midway continued to do a decent job of attracting dads and granddads more interested in fighting planes than racecars, bringing in another $5.7 million for a current gross of $50.2 million. Last Christmas hung on for 9th, taking in $2.9 million for $31.7 million.
Clinging onto the Top 10 for at least one more weekend is Joker, which continues its stunningly successful run with $2.8 million for a total gross of $330.5 million, or less than $5 million away from passing Aquaman, an amount it should easily come up with well before the end of its turn.
The first weekend of December is usually a dead zone, and this year is no exception, with the only wide release being the animated Playmobil, whose purpose for existence seems to start and stop with the success of The Lego Movie. This one won't be challenging Frozen. It might have trouble challenging Playing With Fire. We'll see how much the animated comedy is able to play with this weekend.
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