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Post by The Prighlofone on Dec 11, 2015 22:14:32 GMT -5
Following the honorable NerdInTheBasement's Oscar thread last year, I figured we'd bring it back to talk about the upcoming Oscars which will celebrate 2015's films, the nominees which we'll find out in about a month. |
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on Dec 12, 2015 11:40:49 GMT -5
HOT TUB TIME MACHINE 2 NEEDS TO WIN IT ALL DAMMIT
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on Dec 12, 2015 11:46:41 GMT -5
On a more serious note, the Best Actor field is weak as hell this year, so no way Leonardo DiCaprio and Michael Fassbender get left out. Eddie Redmayne and Johnny Depp will probably get in too. Basically, these are my current Best Actor predictions:
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)
Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)
Johnny Depp (Black Mass)
Matt Damon (The Martian)
I'd love to see Michael B. Jordan get in there for Creed, but I just don't think that movie has gotten enough traction on the awards circuit.
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Post by Ben Grimm on Dec 12, 2015 12:46:23 GMT -5
I'd love to see Michael B. Jordan get in there for Creed, but I just don't think that movie has gotten enough traction on the awards circuit. I suspect Creed may also suffer somewhat from functionally being Rocky 7 - sequels can do okay when the whole series is critically acclaimed, but Rocky isn't that. |
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Post by The Prighlofone on Dec 12, 2015 13:12:57 GMT -5
On a more serious note, the Best Actor field is weak as hell this year, so no way Leonardo DiCaprio and Michael Fassbender get left out. Eddie Redmayne and Johnny Depp will probably get in too. Basically, these are my current Best Actor predictions: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant) Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs) Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl) Johnny Depp (Black Mass) Matt Damon (The Martian) I'd love to see Michael B. Jordan get in there for Creed, but I just don't think that movie has gotten enough traction on the awards circuit. Oh yeah, I think it's going to be a battle between Leo and Fassbender for the Oscar. I think Tom Hanks has a decent shot at getting a nomination too, though (people are saying Bryan Cranston and Will Smith both have shots as well). I don't think Redmayne will win two in a row, as a matter of fact, since Michael Keaton looks like a sure thing for a nomination for Best Supporting Actor for "Spotlight," I wouldn't be surprised if he wins it as sort of an apology. (Insert grumbling about how Jason Segel and Seth Rogen aren't going to be contenders for that category here.) Still really hoping "Inside Out" gets a BP nom, although it's likely the Oscars will go for 8 in the BP field rather than 10 as they restarted it a few years ago (which may keep some deserving films out - I wish they kept it at 10, but it's better than 5.) |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 12, 2015 14:13:14 GMT -5
The most interesting race for me right now is whether a number of relatively under-the-radar composers that turned in amazing scores this year will be nominated for Best Original Score. Specifically:
Carter Burwell - Carol
Johann Johannson - Sicario
Disasterpeace - It Follows
Junkie XL - Fury Road
Also, Ms. Goblin is a huge fan of movie scores of the more classicist type and will throw a brick through the TV if Thomas Newman doesn't win in the next few years.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 12, 2015 14:17:10 GMT -5
HOT TUB TIME MACHINE 2 NEEDS TO WIN IT ALL DAMMIT TED 2 ALL THE WAY. DON'T MAKE ME FIGHT YOU, BASEMENT NERD! |
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Ice Cream Planet
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Post by Ice Cream Planet on Dec 12, 2015 14:27:17 GMT -5
I really hope Carol wins as many awards as possible. If nothing else, I'd love to see Rooney Mara win Best Actress (Cate Blanchett is phenomenal, but given her recent Oscar win, she'll probably get nominated and that's it) and Best Adapted Screenplay. If it wins Best Picture and Director, I'll be very happy too.
And as a surprise to no-one, I'm hoping Jennifer Jason Leigh wins Best Supporting Actress for The Hateful Eight. She's a fantastic actress, long overdue, and this looks like just the kind of project that comes once in a lifetime. I hope it lives up to the hype.
Otherwise, if Anomalisa can get nominated for Best Animated Feature, and, long shot I know, Disasterpiece for Best Original Score, those would be great as well.
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on Dec 12, 2015 15:43:18 GMT -5
I really hope Carol wins as many awards as possible. If nothing else, I'd love to see Rooney Mara win Best Actress (Cate Blanchett is phenomenal, but given her recent Oscar win, she'll probably get nominated and that's it) and Best Adapted Screenplay. If it wins Best Picture and Director, I'll be very happy too. And as a surprise to no-one, I'm hoping Jennifer Jason Leigh wins Best Supporting Actress for The Hateful Eight. She's a fantastic actress, long overdue, and this looks like just the kind of project that comes once in a lifetime. I hope it lives up to the hype. Otherwise, if Anomalisa can get nominated for Best Animated Feature, and, long shot I know, Disasterpiece for Best Original Score, those would be great as well. Good news for you my o'l pa, all of those nominations except for Disasterpiece for Best Original Score are pretty much guaranteed to happen at this point! It'll be interesting to see if Carol becomes the Best Picture frontrunner in the future considering we currently seem to lack one. |
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Ice Cream Planet
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Post by Ice Cream Planet on Dec 12, 2015 15:56:57 GMT -5
I really hope Carol wins as many awards as possible. If nothing else, I'd love to see Rooney Mara win Best Actress (Cate Blanchett is phenomenal, but given her recent Oscar win, she'll probably get nominated and that's it) and Best Adapted Screenplay. If it wins Best Picture and Director, I'll be very happy too. And as a surprise to no-one, I'm hoping Jennifer Jason Leigh wins Best Supporting Actress for The Hateful Eight. She's a fantastic actress, long overdue, and this looks like just the kind of project that comes once in a lifetime. I hope it lives up to the hype. Otherwise, if Anomalisa can get nominated for Best Animated Feature, and, long shot I know, Disasterpiece for Best Original Score, those would be great as well. Good news for you my o'l pa, all of those nominations except for Disasterpiece for Best Original Score are pretty much guaranteed to happen at this point! It'll be interesting to see if Carol becomes the Best Picture frontrunner in the future considering we currently seem to lack one. I really hope it does, and not the more boring looking Spotlight. |
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Post by Deleted on Dec 12, 2015 17:09:16 GMT -5
On a more serious note, the Best Actor field is weak as hell this year, so no way Leonardo DiCaprio and Michael Fassbender get left out. Eddie Redmayne and Johnny Depp will probably get in too. Basically, these are my current Best Actor predictions: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant) Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs) Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl) Johnny Depp (Black Mass) Matt Damon (The Martian) I'd love to see Michael B. Jordan get in there for Creed, but I just don't think that movie has gotten enough traction on the awards circuit. Is depp submitting for Lead Actor? The way black mass played out he could realistically go for either lead or supporting. Though I think supporting might be more stacked this year than lead, with Stallone, Hardy, maybe multiple hateful eight performances, idris elba, spotlight dudes, benecio del toro..... Yeah, he will definitely be going for lead. |
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Post by MarkInTexas on Dec 14, 2015 14:11:49 GMT -5
Best Actor is DiCaprio's to lose. It's an extremely physically grueling role in a film that's getting solid reviews, and a whole lot of people feel he's overdue. The one wild card is that the film itself is reportedly extremely unpleasant, but even then, that's more likely to affect the film's expected Picture nomination and box office than DiCaprio's chances.
Fassbender will almost certainly also be nominated, even if Steve Jobs bombed. Redmayne and Damon also have solid shots, though their position in the final five is far less assured. The last slot will likely come down to Deep or Cranston, with Jordan somewhat of a long shot, since Creed hasn't really caught fire. One final dark horse could be Steve Carell, as The Big Short has sort of come out of nowhere to be a major contender. Actually, I'd say that Carell has a better shot than Jordan at this point.
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Post by The Prighlofone on Dec 14, 2015 14:23:28 GMT -5
Best Actor is DiCaprio's to lose. It's an extremely physically grueling role in a film that's getting solid reviews, and a whole lot of people feel he's overdue. The one wild card is that the film itself is reportedly extremely unpleasant, but even then, that's more likely to affect the film's expected Picture nomination and box office than DiCaprio's chances. Fassbender will almost certainly also be nominated, even if Steve Jobs bombed. Redmayne and Damon also have solid shots, though their position in the final five is far less assured. The last slot will likely come down to Deep or Cranston, with Jordan somewhat of a long shot, since Creed hasn't really caught fire. One final dark horse could be Steve Carell, as The Big Short has sort of come out of nowhere to be a major contender. Actually, I'd say that Carell has a better shot than Jordan at this point. What do you mean by "unpleasant"? Like, you get sucked in by the scenery and almost feel like you're living through the agony Hugh Grant experienced...or is it a movie that looks better than it actually is? I'm rewatching "Birdman" and it holds up very well, so I think I'm going to go see "The Revenant" sometime during the holiday break. "Spotlight" still looks like it's in the lead for Best Picture, I'm really anticipating seeing that. Fassbender's performance as Steve Jobs was splendid, and I think it's worth noting for everyone who knew/worked with Jobs when he was alive condemned this film for being inaccurate, just as many who did the same felt it was extremely realistic (including Wozniak, Apple's co-founder). And Cranston's going for that EGOT. It's weird to think Best Adapted Screenplay is a hell of a lot more competitive than Best Actor this year (also, Ice Cream Planet, I feel almost sure "Anamolisa" will be getting a Best Animated Picture nomination, if nothing else.) |
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Post by Post-Lupin on Dec 15, 2015 14:06:53 GMT -5
Fury Road for the sweep, including Best Actress for Charlize. Anything less... eh, mediocre.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Dec 17, 2015 12:27:08 GMT -5
What do you mean by "unpleasant"? Like, you get sucked in by the scenery and almost feel like you're living through the agony Hugh Grant experienced...or is it a movie that looks better than it actually is? I'm rewatching "Birdman" and it holds up very well, so I think I'm going to go see "The Revenant" sometime during the holiday break. "Spotlight" still looks like it's in the lead for Best Picture, I'm really anticipating seeing that. Admittedly, I haven't seen it yet (I don't think it expands out of NY/LA until January, but from the reviews I've read, it's supposed to be extremely intense and visceral. The camera doesn't cut away like it usually would in most films, and it can be very difficult to watch. |
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Post by ganews on Dec 18, 2015 11:41:26 GMT -5
I don't care about anything except Fury Road winning Best Score, though if it wins other things that would be cool.
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Post by The Prighlofone on Dec 20, 2015 21:41:35 GMT -5
12 films and how they might win BP. Some of these are real long shots at nominations, let alone a win, and several films I feel have a relatively good shot at the nomination are ignored, but it's an interesting read. The last few years have been pretty good for film. So why do I feel so pessimistic about 2016?
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Post by heroboy on Dec 21, 2015 19:00:47 GMT -5
Fury Road for the sweep, including Best Actress for Charlize. Anything less... eh, mediocre. As much I loved Fury Road, I highly doubt that will happen. It will get a ton of nominations, but the only major award it has a chance in is Best Directing. Probably has a great shot at a few of either Production Design, Cinematography, Effects, Editing, Makeup, Costumes, Sound Editing and/or Mixing. Maybe 4 awards total? |
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Post by Post-Lupin on Dec 22, 2015 6:03:45 GMT -5
Fury Road for the sweep, including Best Actress for Charlize. Anything less... eh, mediocre. As much I loved Fury Road, I highly doubt that will happen. It will get a ton of nominations, but the only major award it has a chance in is Best Directing. Probably has a great shot at a few of either Production Design, Cinematography, Effects, Editing, Makeup, Costumes, Sound Editing and/or Mixing. Maybe 4 awards total? Summing up all that's wrong with the Academy in a nutshell, right there. |
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Ice Cream Planet
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Post by Ice Cream Planet on Dec 22, 2015 6:07:29 GMT -5
As much I loved Fury Road, I highly doubt that will happen. It will get a ton of nominations, but the only major award it has a chance in is Best Directing. Probably has a great shot at a few of either Production Design, Cinematography, Effects, Editing, Makeup, Costumes, Sound Editing and/or Mixing. Maybe 4 awards total? Summing up all that's wrong with the Academy in a nutshell, right there. It's funny; as much as I want Carol to sweep the Oscars (save for Jennifer Jason Leigh for Best Supporting Actress; Mara is great, but she's totally a lead), if Fury Road wins Best Picture or Director (the more likely of the two), I'll be pleased a sci-fi film finally 'made it,' for lack of a better phrase. |
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Post by Post-Lupin on Dec 22, 2015 6:40:39 GMT -5
Summing up all that's wrong with the Academy in a nutshell, right there. It's funny; as much as I want Carol to sweep the Oscars (save for Jennifer Jason Leigh for Best Supporting Actress; Mara is great, but she's totally a lead), if Fury Road wins Best Picture or Director (the more likely of the two), I'll be pleased a sci-fi film finally 'made it,' for lack of a better phrase. A SF film getting Best Picture/Director would matter: a period piece would be business as usual. |
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Ice Cream Planet
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Post by Ice Cream Planet on Dec 22, 2015 6:43:39 GMT -5
It's funny; as much as I want Carol to sweep the Oscars (save for Jennifer Jason Leigh for Best Supporting Actress; Mara is great, but she's totally a lead), if Fury Road wins Best Picture or Director (the more likely of the two), I'll be pleased a sci-fi film finally 'made it,' for lack of a better phrase. A SF film getting Best Picture/Director would matter: a period piece would be business as usual. To be fair, if Carol did win Best Picture/Director, I believe it would be the second queer-centric film, directed by an openly gay man, (after Midnight Cowboy) to do so, which is no small feat. |
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Post by Post-Lupin on Dec 22, 2015 7:05:39 GMT -5
A SF film getting Best Picture/Director would matter: a period piece would be business as usual. To be fair, if Carol did win Best Picture/Director, I believe it would be the second queer-centric film, directed by an openly gay man, (after Midnight Cowboy) to do so, which is no small feat. Also a good thing... but the key word there is second. |
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Post by Ice Cream Planet on Dec 22, 2015 7:11:22 GMT -5
To be fair, if Carol did win Best Picture/Director, I believe it would be the second queer-centric film, directed by an openly gay man, (after Midnight Cowboy) to do so, which is no small feat. Also a good thing... but the key word there is second. Fair enough. I'm a big Todd Haynes fan and a huge fan of The Price of Salt and I would love to see a queer-centric film that wasn't muted take the top prizes (dammit, why couldn't Sunday Bloody Sunday have been Schlesinger's big winner instead of Midnight Cowboy). That said, if Fury Road takes the top prizes, I certainly wouldn't begrudge it its success. It's ridiculous a sci-fi film hasn't won Best Picture yet. |
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Post by The Prighlofone on Jan 14, 2016 12:53:54 GMT -5
So! Nominees were announced! Thoughts?
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Post by Sanziana on Jan 14, 2016 13:00:21 GMT -5
I can't believe this, but Mad Max Fury Road got 9 Oscar nominations, including for Best Picture and Best Director. I hope it wins them all.
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Post by heroboy on Jan 14, 2016 13:17:20 GMT -5
Ridley Scott got snubbed, but that's mostly because comedies don't do well at the Oscars.
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Post by The Prighlofone on Jan 14, 2016 13:24:43 GMT -5
Ridley Scott got snubbed, but that's mostly because comedies don't do well at the Oscars. Adam McKay got nominated. Most people would have had Tarantino, Spielberg or Scott over him as a probable nominee for Best Director. Personally, I think the fact that the Oscars nominated a "comedy director" is pretty great. I thought Steve Carell was better than Christian Bale, but both had good performances. Disappointed "Inside Out" didn't get a BP nomination, but I think it will surely win Best Animated Film. Though I can't wait to see "Anomalisa". Although I guess I can because it's only playing in NYC and it's too cold to go back to NYC for a few months. A bit surprised both "The Good Dinosaur" and "The Peanuts Movie" were snubbed (there are seriously people who thought "Minions" would be nominated? Come on, people.) Also really curious to see several of the Animated Shorts. Still pissed they didn't include "Riley's First Date" on the "Inside Out" DVD (it was only on the Blu-Ray) but I've heard great things about "Sanjay's Super Team" and "World of Tomorrow". I actually thought the Academy might overcompensate in nominating black actors (Will Smith and Idris Elba in particular) to make sure the backlash (or blacklash, as Larry Wilmore put it) didn't happen again. But holy crap, while this isn't a bad list of nominees, I still never expected it to be as white as it is. The sole outlier is "Straight Outta Compton"'s Best Original Screenplay nomination, which it will almost surely lose to "Spotlight". Speaking of which, in addition to Idris Elba, Michael Keaton's snub in the Best Supporting Actor category was a surprise. I figured it would be kind of an apology for giving Best Actor to Redmayne, and more likely than Mark Ruffalo getting it since he was nominated for "Foxcatcher" last year. It's also unfortunate Jason Segel, Paul Giamatti, and yes, Seth Rogen, were also ignored. So should I watch "Winter on Fire: Ukraine's Fight for Freedom" or finally start "Black Mirror" today? |
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Post by Ron Howard Voice on Jan 14, 2016 13:42:20 GMT -5
"Youth" had better win for "Best Song".
I liked Spotlight a LOT but I think that MacAdams, Ruffalo, and even McCarthy are fairly unworthy nominees in their categories. Also quite unhappy that "Carol" got nominated for its musical score, which is a recycle of decades-old Sad Piano Chord cliches, but didn't get Mara into actress. Maybe they were trying not to split the vote and wanted two actress winners from one movie.
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Post by Sanziana on Jan 14, 2016 14:43:01 GMT -5
Delighted Look of Silence got a nomination for Best Documentary, here's hoping it'll win. And Emily Blunt was shamelessly snubbed, at least Charlotte Rampling got a nod. I also think Sicario was a better BP option than some of the movies chosen.
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