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Post by NerdInTheBasement on Apr 18, 2015 16:35:09 GMT -5
 Oh wow, surprised we don't have one of these! Here's where we can talk about the going on's at the domestic, overseas and worldwide box office! To start things off, interestingly, it looks like Furious 7 is gonna become the first movie not directed by James Cameron to make over a billion dollars overseas. Two things to take away from this: 1) Holy hell, I can't even begin to imagine what Age of Ultron and The Force Awakens are gonna make overseas now. 2) Few things bring the world together more than Vin Disel and Jason Statham fighting while Dwayne Johnson fires off machine gun rounds at a helicopter. And that makes me happy. Also, I'm pretty certain that this what the Universal Pictures executives are doing right now:  |
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on Apr 19, 2015 11:34:12 GMT -5
This weekends box office figures have come in: www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2015&wknd=16&p=.htmRandom thoughts: * Can Furious 7 make it to four weeks as the number one movie in America? All I know is my gut says maybe. * Well, in one weekend, Paul Blart 2 is just one million dollars shy of making more money than Boyhood made in its entire eight month long theatrical run. That's just depressing on so many damn levels. * A24 had a great weekend, both of their movies (While We're Young and especially Ex Machine) performed well. * Child 44 bombed hard, and True Story underperformed. Yikes for both films. * Unfriended was solid this weekend, pretty much in the middle of the pack in terms of cheap horror flicks; better than The Lazarus Project, nowhere near as good as The Purge or The Conjuring. * Holy hell, Furious 7 has made $252 million in China is just eight days. All it needs to surpass Trans4mers, the biggest movie of all-time in China, is $68 million, which should be achieved by next weekend. That's incredible, and looks like it'll help the movie become the first film not directed by James Cameron to make over $1 billion overseas. |
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Post by dboonsghost on Apr 19, 2015 16:38:33 GMT -5
I would love it if Furious 7 becomes the new global box office champion, if only because fuck Avatar, but also because The Rock is awesome.
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Post by Carade on Apr 19, 2015 16:48:12 GMT -5
With the release of The Force Awakens trailer Disney's market value went up by 2 billion dollars. Holy christ. Force Awakens is going to make so much goddamned money.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Apr 20, 2015 12:52:24 GMT -5
And both Avengers and Force Awakens are Disney movies. This will likely be the first year since 2010 that one studio has both of the top 2 films of the year. It was Disney then, as well, with Toy Story 3 and Alice in Wonderland. I suspect the combined worldwide gross of Avengers and Star Wars will make the combined grosses of TS3 and Alice look like the change underneath my couch cushions.
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on Apr 20, 2015 13:06:13 GMT -5
And both Avengers and Force Awakens are Disney movies. This will likely be the first year since 2010 that one studio has both of the top 2 films of the year. It was Disney then, as well, with Toy Story 3 and Alice in Wonderland. I suspect the combined worldwide gross of Avengers and Star Wars will make the combined grosses of TS3 and Alice look like the change underneath my couch cushions. Great point. Plus, even better for Disney, they won't have big money losers like Prince of Persia or The Sorcerer's Apprentice like they did in 2010. In fact, Ant-Man, Tomorrowland, Inside Out and The Good Dinosaur all should post grosses ranging from solid to excellent that'll only increase Disney's massive presence at the 2015 box office. |
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on Apr 26, 2015 11:03:16 GMT -5
Hey! Furious 7 did it this weekend, it did indeed become the first non-James Cameron directed movie to hit $1 billion internationally.
Also; Little Boy was a humongous flop. Why am I not shocked?
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Post by Lord Lucan on Apr 26, 2015 11:10:22 GMT -5
OT, but just realized Max von Sydow will be starring in The Force Awakens, which is cool, at his age.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Apr 28, 2015 13:08:16 GMT -5
Furious 7 becomes the first movie since The Hunger Games to be #1 for four straight weeks. Can it make it 5 in a row this weekend? The only new wide release is apparently a sequel to that Ralph Fiennes/Uma Thurman TV show adaption that flopped hard in 1998, so I'm sure Furious 7 won't have any problem taking the top spot.
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Post by dboonsghost on Apr 28, 2015 21:10:31 GMT -5
Furious 7 becomes the first movie since The Hunger Games to be #1 for four straight weeks. Can it make it 5 in a row this weekend? The only new wide release is apparently a sequel to that Ralph Fiennes/Uma Thurman TV show adaption that flopped hard in 1998, so I'm sure Furious 7 won't have any problem taking the top spot. Uh... Avengers, right? |
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Post by MarkInTexas on Apr 29, 2015 12:25:54 GMT -5
Yep! The 1998 adaption of the cult British TV show with Sean Connery as a weather-controlling villain. Apparently, it was awful, so the studio chopped half an hour out of it so not only was it awful, but it was also incoherent. I got that information from Wikipedia since, like most of humanity, I never saw it. Why that movie is getting a sequel, I don't know. Unless, this is a sequel to another movie called The Avengers, but that would just be silly. Hollywood would never use a title twice!
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Post by dboonsghost on Apr 29, 2015 13:15:22 GMT -5
Yep! The 1998 adaption of the cult British TV show with Sean Connery as a weather-controlling villain. Apparently, it was awful, so the studio chopped half an hour out of it so not only was it awful, but it was also incoherent. I got that information from Wikipedia since, like most of humanity, I never saw it. Why that movie is getting a sequel, I don't know. Unless, this is a sequel to another movie called The Avengers, but that would just be silly. Hollywood would never use a title twice! "Sooo... Don't Look Now remake?" |
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on Apr 30, 2015 11:43:22 GMT -5
Any box office opening weekend predictions for The Avengers: Age of Ultron?
I'm going with a $220 million opening myself.
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Post by disqusf3dme on Apr 30, 2015 20:30:43 GMT -5
The more I think about how massive The Avengers is, the sadder I am about how much it will crush poor Mad Max  But maybe the R rating is good for Mad Max, less audience overlap or something. |
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Post by MarkInTexas on May 1, 2015 9:58:40 GMT -5
I'll say $210, slightly above the opening of the first film (and a little over 20 times the opening of the 1998 Avengers). Reviews for the film seem to be in "good, but not great" territory, which reminds me of the reviews of another humongously anticipated superhero sequel following a beloved entry--The Dark Knight Rises. If Ultron's word of mouth also mimics Rises's, they could end up following the same box office track. If that does happen, Ultron will still be an enormous hit--I suspect $500 million domestic is the absolute minimum for it--but could end up well short of the first film's gross (though if it already hasn't outgrossed the entire run of the '98 one, it will by lunchtime).
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on May 1, 2015 11:31:14 GMT -5
It turns out that The Avengers: Age of Ultron wound up making $27.6 million last night at Thursday night screenings, 48% up from the first Avengers movie and by far the biggest Thursday night numbers for any MCU movie, plus, it's the sixth biggest Thursday/midnight launch in history. If it plays throughout the weekend like the most frontloaded MCU movie (Guardians of The Galaxy), it'll do 8.4 times its Thursday night grosses and make $232 million for the weekend.
I'll go a little lower and predict $227 million for the weekend, but good God, those are some incredible figures.
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Post by Douay-Rheims-Challoner on May 1, 2015 12:28:45 GMT -5
Unless, this is a sequel to another movie called The Avengers, but that would just be silly. Hollywood would never use a title twice! And indeed they didn't; this is a sequel to the film called Avengers Assemble; supposedly they wanted to call it Avengers but ligitators in the UK would have none of that. |
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on May 3, 2015 12:51:27 GMT -5
Holy shit.
The Avengers: Age of Ultron had the second biggest opening weekend of all-time, with $187 million. The only caveat of the amazing performance is that its Saturday grosses were slightly diluted by the Mayweather/Pacquiao fight, a humongous television event that sent attendance plummeting by 40 percent from Friday to Saturday in major cities like Los Angeles and Sna Francisco. Luckily, A) this is such a huge opening that, frankly, I'm pretty sure Marvel will, at worst, just shrug it off, and B) it should be in for nice hold next weekend, since it's Saturday grosses next weekend will play in a more conventional manner compared to this frame. Interestingly, that aforementioned huge boxing match from last night impacted all releases at the box office; sans Cinderella, no movie lost less than 50% for the weekend, with some like Furious 7 dropping by a whopping 66%.
Other major feats for Age of Ultron included being among the Top 3 highest grossing Fridays/Saturdays/Sundays of all-time, as well as being only the second film in history to make $180 million over the course of three days. This is obviously some pretty huge numbers that are just yet another phenomenal success for Marvel Studios, a company that now has released three movies with the three biggest opening weekends of all-time in the span of just three years.
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Post by MarkInTexas on May 14, 2015 13:00:19 GMT -5
So Mad Max is getting fantastic reviews across the board, which will probably get enough people into the theater to make it #1 for the weekend. The question is how big? I suspect a $50 million opening is assured of, but how much higher can it go? I suspect it has an outside shot at $100 million, which would make it the highest R-rated opening ever (Matrix Reloaded, amazingly enough, still holds this record with $91 million).
The other question of the weekend is are there enough Pitch Perfect fans out there to put it over Avengers, which will probably end up somewhere between $35 and $45 million for the weekend? My guess: no, but it will open at a strong #3 and have better-than-anticipated legs.
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on May 14, 2015 13:31:38 GMT -5
So Mad Max is getting fantastic reviews across the board, which will probably get enough people into the theater to make it #1 for the weekend. The question is how big? I suspect a $50 million opening is assured of, but how much higher can it go? I suspect it has an outside shot at $100 million, which would make it the highest R-rated opening ever (Matrix Reloaded, amazingly enough, still holds this record with $91 million). The other question of the weekend is are there enough Pitch Perfect fans out there to put it over Avengers, which will probably end up somewhere between $35 and $45 million for the weekend? My guess: no, but it will open at a strong #3 and have better-than-anticipated legs. Weirdly, I kind of have reverse predictions for the weekend. I think Mad Max: Fury Road is gonna wind up just below $50 million for the weekend, while Pitch Perfect 2 will be around $55 million for the frame. Those incredible reviews will help Max a lot this weekend, wouldn't be surprised if it surpassed my expectations, but it's gonna be tough to beat those Bellas. |
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Post by Carade on May 15, 2015 19:21:11 GMT -5
Weirdly, I kind of have reverse predictions for the weekend. I think Mad Max: Fury Road is gonna wind up just below $50 million for the weekend, while Pitch Perfect 2 will be around $55 million for the frame. Those incredible reviews will help Max a lot this weekend, wouldn't be surprised if it surpassed my expectations, but it's gonna be tough to beat those Bellas. I think Mad Max will have staying power though. I predict that the week to week drop for Fury Road is gonna be relatively low, and that Pitch Perfect 2 will suffer a bit after the opening weekend. |
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Post by Lone Locust of the Apocalypse on May 16, 2015 4:37:08 GMT -5
Looks like Pitch Perfect 2 is going to be number 1 this week.
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Post by MarkInTexas on May 18, 2015 13:00:33 GMT -5
Wow...I called that one wrong! Nerd was right on the money with Mad Max, but I think everyone underestimated just how huge Pitch 2 would be. If I'm not mistaken, it becomes the second sequel to have already outgrossed the original by the end of opening weekend (the first was Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me). Actually, Mad Max might just be the third, since Beyond Thunderdome, the series's previous high-grosser, topped out at $36 million back in 1985. Then again, I'm not sure if comparing grosses 30 years apart is a valid comparison (Fury Road would already be in 17th place for 1985).
As for what happens now, Fury Road has been getting such phenomenal word-of-mouth that I suspect it will hold up very very well for an action movie, even with Tomorrowland, Poltergeist, San Andreas, and Jurassic World on the horizon.
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on May 21, 2015 13:23:19 GMT -5
Tomorrowland feels sort of impossible to predict box office wise, it really could go anywhere in my book. I will predict, though, that it makes $45 million for the weekend.
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Post by MarkInTexas on May 21, 2015 16:02:15 GMT -5
I was thinking the same thing. Clooney's biggest opening, by far, is Gravity, at $55 million. This time last year, Maleficent opened to $69 million, but that one had a clear "Sleeping Beauty from the villian's POV" hook, while Tomorrowland had Clooney and some vague sci-fi stuff. I think a $45 million opening is about where it will land, but I wouldn't be surprised if it tops $70 million or ends up around $30 million.
I'm not sure what Poltergeist will do, either. The unexpected success of The Purge and The Conjuring two years ago signaled that horror might be able to thrive during the summer (which is why Insidious 3 will be coming out in two weeks and not in September), and Poltergeist benefits from a PG-13 rating and a familiar title. I'm going to assume that the ceiling for this is around $30 million, but that's what I thought about Pitch 2 last weekend.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Jun 5, 2015 17:40:30 GMT -5
So after one movie shook up the box office while another movie might as well have been stranded on an island last week, what's going to happen this weekend?
Entourage opened to an OK $5.4 million on Wednesday, or slightly more than what Sex and the City took in on its first Wednesday 7 years ago. Of course, SATC had opened the previous Friday, and had grossed $57 million that weekend, so it's probably safe to say that Entourage's first weekend will gross slightly less.
Likely to outgross the Hollywood bros will be Spy and Insidious 3. As long as she's the headliner, a Melissa McCarthy movie is almost guaranteed to be a hit (even last year's Tammy, widely seen as a flop, took in $85 million domestic--well below The Heat and Identity Thief, but well above its budget). McCarthy's three vehicles have opened to $34, $39, and $33 million (over five days), and there's no reason to think Spy won't open with similar numbers.
Insidious Chapter Two opened very strongly in September 2013 with over $40 million. It should be noted, however, that Rose Byrne and Patrick Wilson, who provided a bit of star power to the first two films, isn't in this one, leaving the lead role to Lin Shaye and Dermot Mulroney (Byrne is actually co-starring in Spy). Also, June is considerably more competitive than September, so I doubt another $40 million opening is in the cards. Poltergeist opened two weeks ago to $22 million. I would expect Insidious to easily beat that, but not make it very far over $30.
Also opening semi-wide is the Beach Boys biopic Love and Mercy, which could crack the lower rungs of the Top 10 this weekend.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Jun 12, 2015 12:07:18 GMT -5
So how much will Jurassic World make this weekend? An opening north of $100 million seems pretty much guaranteed, but how much higher? Higher than Furious 7's $147 million? I'm guessing yes. Higher than Avenger's $191 million? I'm guessing no. I say JW will open somewhere in the middle of that, around $170 million.
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on Jun 12, 2015 14:06:02 GMT -5
I'm gonna say $135 million for Jurassic Worlds opening weekend. That incredible $18.5 sum it picked up at Thursday night screenings last night solidified the idea that this ones gonna be a titan this summer.
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Post by NerdInTheBasement on Jun 14, 2015 11:36:39 GMT -5
Jurassic World just had the second biggest opening weekend of all-time with $204 million domestically, and the biggest worldwide opening of all-time, with $511 million made across the planet. To boot, it's the first movie to make $500 million worldwide in one weekend.
All I can say to all of those numbers is HOLY SHIT
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Post by dboonsghost on Jun 14, 2015 14:48:34 GMT -5
Jurassic World just had the second biggest opening weekend of all-time with $204 million domestically, and the biggest worldwide opening of all-time, with $511 million made across the planet. To boot, it's the first movie to make $500 million worldwide in one weekend. All I can say to all of those numbers is HOLY SHIT HOORAY, MEDIOCRITY REIGNS! |
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But maybe the R rating is good for Mad Max, less audience overlap or something.
