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Post by MarkInTexas on Sept 25, 2015 15:38:25 GMT -5
September has brought forth some solid successes, but no blockbuster hits so far. This weekend brings forth three films whose studios will probably not be too happy if they fail to finish well over $100 million.
Topping the list (and probably box office charts come Monday) is Hotel Transylvania 2, the sequel to the (voice of) Adam Sandler-led original that grossed a decent $148 million 3 years ago. The first one was fairly warmly received, so good will, plus the fact you pretty much have to go back to Minions to find the last family film with kid appeal, should translate into a solid opening weekend.
Also opening is The Intern, a movie that your mom and grandmother really want to see. Robert DeNiro plays a recent retiree who, bored, decides to get back into the workforce by interning at a very hip, modern company run by Anne Hathaway. Thankfully, the ads make it clear that their relationship is going to be surrogate father/daughter rather than romantic, but it also doesn't really hint too much about the plot. Earlier this month, A Walk in the Woods did surprisingly solid business, so it stands to reason that The Intern, which has received a lot more of a push, and has a lead actress that's designed to get people under retirement age into the theater, should do even better.
Everest opened exclusively on IMAX screens last week to a decent $7.2 million. This week it goes wide to non-IMAX theaters. It should do decently, but will probably be looking up at the two other releases. Then again, it is a Universal release, which probably means a $50 million wide opening. The whole "opening early on IMAX" thing might be catching on, as The Walk will attempt the same stunt next weekend.
The fourth newcomer this week is Eli Roth's long-delayed The Green Inferno, in which a group of college kids discover that a tribe in the Amazon has decided to put them on the dinner menu. Gorehounds will eat it up (pun intended), but general audiences will likely stay away from this one, especially since there are quite a few better-looking horror movies coming out in the coming weeks.
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Post by MarkInTexas on May 11, 2017 14:08:16 GMT -5
I figure this thread is due for a revival...
Guardians 2 opened last weekend to $146 million, the 17th biggest opening of all time. That's fantastic, but it's also a bit disappointing. It made less than Spider-Man 3 did on the same weekend ten years ago (straight grosses, not adjusted for inflation), and made roughly $30 million less than Beauty and the Beast opened to in March. Indeed, the Guardians opening shows just how insane Beauty's $175 million opening truly was, as it opened in fewer theaters, against stronger competition (3 other movies made at least $10 million that weekend, while the second highest grossing movie last weekend made $8.5 million), and almost certainly had a higher percentage of its sales made of lower-priced kids tickets.
This weekend has two new wide releases, both of which are expected to finish well below the second weekend of Guardians. Snatched, starring Goldie Hawn, in her first film in 15 years, and Amy Schumer as a mother/daughter team that gets kidnapped in South America, will probably finish #2 thanks to the promotion of this as a good Mother's Day film. The history of female buddy movies is mixed, as this looks unlikely to rise to Bridesmaids or The Heat levels, but should finish well above Hot Pursuit.
The other wide release is King Arthur: Legend of the Sword, the latest entry in the apparent requirement of a big budget King Arthur film every decade (The '00s had 2004's King Arthur, the '90s had 1995's First Knight, and the '80s had 1981's Excalibur). Like First Knight and King Arthur, Sword is getting mixed-to-negative reviews, and, like First Knight and King Arthur, is expected to be a box office disappointment, even though director Guy Ritchie had been on a bit of a roll. Even if this does flop, he's almost guaranteed to have a huge hit next time with Disney's live-action remake of Aladdin.
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Post by MarkInTexas on May 17, 2017 14:53:38 GMT -5
Guardians won again easily this weekend, earning $65 million at the box office and running its domestic total to over $248 million. It is now the second-highest grosser of the year, though it would need to almost double its current total to hit Beauty and the Beast, which is knocking on the door of $500 million domestic. At any rate, Guardians take is the 14th highest 2nd weekend take ever, and roughly what Thor made in its opening weekend.
Opening way, way down in second place was Snatched, as Goldie Hawn's mother/daughter hijinks couldn't hold a candle to Kurt Russell's father/son hijinks. Since it only cost $42 million to make, it should eventually find its way to profitability, though it can't be a good feeling to make less than Monster-in-Law made on its opening weekend 12 years ago.
Probably never making its way to profitability is the summer's first megaflop, King Arthur: Legend of the Sword. The fact that everyone could see this disaster coming doesn't keep it from being a disaster, and indeed, at $15 million, it actually finished below the modest expectations. This probably won't keep Hollywood from doing another big budgeted King Arthur movie around 2028, though.
In more limited release, Lowriders did very well, while The Wall was largely ignored.
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Post by pairesta on May 17, 2017 15:46:49 GMT -5
I'd imagine I'm not alone in this, but I get a feeling the new Pirates of the Caribbean is going to disappoint, if not outright bomb. The public really seems to have soured on Depp, and there doesn't seem to be any excitement or anticipation for it out there.
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Post by Nudeviking on May 18, 2017 0:35:36 GMT -5
I'd imagine I'm not alone in this, but I get a feeling the new Pirates of the Caribbean is going to disappoint, if not outright bomb. The public really seems to have soured on Depp, and there doesn't seem to be any excitement or anticipation for it out there. There's a new Johnny Depp in a Funny Hat Pirate move? I had no idea. |
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Post by ganews on May 18, 2017 7:46:04 GMT -5
I'd imagine I'm not alone in this, but I get a feeling the new Pirates of the Caribbean is going to disappoint, if not outright bomb. The public really seems to have soured on Depp, and there doesn't seem to be any excitement or anticipation for it out there. There's a new Johnny Depp in a Funny Hat Pirate move? I had no idea. With Javier Bardem as the villain, no less, threatening to pop out of the picture and chew the screen itself. |
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Post by MarkInTexas on May 18, 2017 9:34:44 GMT -5
I haven't heard much buzz about Dead Men Have Way Too Long Subtitles, which, to be honest, is probably not a good sign. I do agree that its probably not going to be a success. I suspect Baywatch will be surprisingly popular, and Wonder Women, which opens a week later and which people seem genuinely excited about, will probably take a big hit on Week 2 grosses.
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Post by Powerthirteen on May 18, 2017 10:50:11 GMT -5
I haven't heard much buzz about Dead Men Have Way Too Long Subtitles, which, to be honest, is probably not a good sign. I do agree that its probably not going to be a success. I suspect Baywatch will be surprisingly popular, and Wonder Women, which opens a week later and which people seem genuinely excited about, will probably take a big hit on Week 2 grosses. If I didn't have a wife to whom I have to explain my life choices I would definitely give Baywatch a shot. I think it's going to do pretty well. Vote Johnson '24. |
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Post by ganews on May 22, 2017 11:45:18 GMT -5
I'm amused that for tomorrow my local AMC has more showtimes for Snatched than Alien:Covenant.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Jun 16, 2017 12:53:52 GMT -5
Wonder Woman is a huge hit. Everything Everything is a minor hit. Everything else that has opened in the six weeks since Guardians is a moderate-to-huge flop. Welcome to summer movie season!
This week we have the unasked-for Cars 3, which becomes the first G-rated wide-release non-documentary since The Peanuts Movie. It's Disney/Pixar, and just about every kid in the country is out of school now, so it should do solid business this weekend. But it's easy to see this one underperforming. Rough Night is the summer's third attempt to launch an R-rated comedy. Reviews for this, while not overwhelmingly positive, have been better than those for Snatched and Baywatch, so I wouldn't be surprised if it launches better than either of those films. Then again, better would be roughly $20 million for the weekend, which is kind of a low bar to clear. Also launching is the underwater thriller 47 Meters Down, where a bunch of sharks see Mandy Moore and decide "This is Lunch". Last year's somewhat similar The Shallows made over $50 million, and that film didn't have the advantage of starring the star of one of the year's hottest TV shows. Finally, there's the Tupac biopic All Eyez On Me, which I originally thought might be this summer's Straight Outta Compton. But I have barely seen any ads for this, so I know there's there's a better chance of this being this summer's Get On Up.
Next week is weird, with Transformers 5 being the only wide release, and it's launching on Wednesday. Outside of Thanksgiving, that's not a common phenomena.
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Post by pairesta on Jun 17, 2017 8:26:58 GMT -5
Every time I got to the movies I have to sit through that interminable Tranformers trailer. God damn do I hate these movies. I'd love for it to bomb and kill the franchise but no way of that happening.
My next real (and probably inevitably wrong) prediction: Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets is going to bomb. It'll get good reviews, but do poorly.
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Post by Incense on Jun 17, 2017 12:33:28 GMT -5
Every time I got to the movies I have to sit through that interminable Tranformers trailer. God damn do I hate these movies. I'd love for it to bomb and kill the franchise but no way of that happening. My next real (and probably inevitably wrong) prediction: Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets is going to bomb. It'll get good reviews, but do poorly. OH MY GOD. I've seen four movies in the last month and every single fucking time, I had to sit through that yes, interminable Transformers trailer. It looks like utter trash, and every time, I almost say out loud, "Anthony Hopkins, what the fuck are you doing?" |
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Post by Ben Grimm on Jun 17, 2017 14:42:34 GMT -5
Going by the daily comparisons, Wonder Woman's total is now ahead of where Man of Steel was at the same time, and will pass up Suicide Squad's in the next day or two, probably. It's still about $30 million behind where BvS was at this time, but is making a lot more - $10.85 million for day 15 vs. $6.07. Despite starting way behind the other films, there's a reasonably good chance it will end its run with at least the highest domestic total of the DC films, and worst-case scenario is probably a close second. Either case is an extraordinarily good sign for the future of these movies, assume that they don't trip over themselves on Justice League or Aquaman.
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Post by pairesta on Jun 18, 2017 9:23:56 GMT -5
Every time I got to the movies I have to sit through that interminable Tranformers trailer. God damn do I hate these movies. I'd love for it to bomb and kill the franchise but no way of that happening. My next real (and probably inevitably wrong) prediction: Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets is going to bomb. It'll get good reviews, but do poorly. OH MY GOD. I've seen four movies in the last month and every single fucking time, I had to sit through that yes, interminable Transformers trailer. It looks like utter trash, and every time, I almost say out loud, "Anthony Hopkins, what the fuck are you doing?" I know Sir Hopkins is a 14 carat glazed ham, but still, him solemnly intoning the words "Optimus Prime" makes me wonder how these movies haven't been laughed out of existence. I've seen three movies in three days in the theaters. Yesterday, walking into It Comes At Night I told my wife, "So help me god, if there's a Transformers preview in front of this . . . " And sure enough, there was. All the other previews were hard R, red band horror and action trailers, then in the middle of it was that fucking Transformers. I may just not go to a movie again until after it's come out. |
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Post by Incense on Jun 18, 2017 9:53:58 GMT -5
I know Sir Hopkins is a 14 carat glazed ham, but still, him solemnly intoning the words "Optimus Prime" makes me wonder how these movies haven't been laughed out of existence. I've seen three movies in three days in the theaters. Yesterday, walking into It Comes At Night I told my wife, "So help me god, if there's a Transformers preview in front of this . . . " And sure enough, there was. All the other previews were hard R, red band horror and action trailers, then in the middle of it was that fucking Transformers. I may just not go to a movie again until after it's come out. Two more days. I looked it up and we only have two more days before we never have to see it again and then it's just a matter of walking past the screens showing it on our way to better movies. You know what I think annoys me most about the trailer? This stupid face.  |
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Post by pairesta on Jun 18, 2017 9:55:43 GMT -5
Two more days. I looked it up and we only have two more days before we never have to see it again and then it's just a matter of walking past the screens showing it on our way to better movies. You know what I think annoys me most about the trailer? This stupid face. YES! I said this on a Transformers thread at TOC but I recoil in disgust whenever I actually see one of the Transformer faces (which is rare, since they are constantly moving and blowing up shit). They are physically revolting. WHY DOES A ROBOT NEED LIPS |
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Post by MarkInTexas on Jun 23, 2017 17:06:20 GMT -5
Transformers: The Last Movie Knight opened Wednesday to nearly $15.7 million. By one standard, that's very good, as it's the highest Wednesday gross in six months, since Rouge One's first Wednesday. It also made more its opening day than the two most recent comparable Wednesday openings, Moana and Sing, did. On the other hand, Dark of the Moon opened on Wednesday, June 29, 2011 to nearly $38 million. And that pales in comparison to Revenge of the Fallen's Wednesday, June 24th, 2009 opening of $62 million. Now, a $62 million one-day gross for any movie on any day is extremely impressive, much less on a random weekday, so it's not really fair to compare Legend of the Sword The Last Knight to that. But it's also clear that, while this will probably do better domestically than fellow unnecessary 5-quel Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Franchises Tell No Tales, it's not going to do a lot better.
Moana opened to $15.5 million on Wednesday, November 23 and finished with just under $250 million. Sing opened to just over $11 million on Wednesday, December 21 and finished with $270 million. That suggests a final domestic gross for The Last Knight that should put it ahead of Age of Extinction (which opened on a Friday). However, neither movie really provides a good comparison. Moana had excellent legs, playing strongly from Thanksgiving until nearly Christmas. Sing's legs were even better, and opening 4 days before Christmas essentially allowed nearly every day between opening and New Year's to function like an opening weekend Saturday in terms of grosses (Moana, which was still doing well by this point, if understandably fading after four weeks of release, also had a week and a half of daily grosses that were remarkably consistent from day to day).
The Last Knight's legs are going to be considerably weaker than that. How much weaker remains to be seen, but this opening could point to a final gross of under $200 million. That probably won't mean the end of the series, but it might mean part 6 gets a reduced budget. Or The Last Knight makes $800 million in the rest of the world, and 6 cost $300 million.
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Post by Ben Grimm on Jun 25, 2017 16:10:40 GMT -5
Wonder Woman has now passed all other DCEU films' domestic takes on the same day of release as of yesterday (day 23). As of today - or at least today's estimates - it's at ~$318 million, only about $7 million behind Suicide Squad's total take, and about $12 million behind BvS's. It will definitely finish as the #1 DCEU film in total domestic take, probably by next weekend, despite opening way, way behind the other three. It also may outgross Cars 3 this weekend and finish at #2 - the dropoff has been crazy-low on this thing. This should put to rest any concerns about female-led Superhero movies, at least for a while. Notice that I said "should," not "will."
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Post by MarkInTexas on Jun 30, 2017 9:57:59 GMT -5
Just to let everyone know how bad it's going in Transformersland, The Last Knight has still yet to outgross Age of Extinction's opening weekend. Indeed, its entire 3-day take last weekend was just $3 million more than Extinction made on its opening Friday--and Extinction is considered a flop. Forget what I said about outgrossing Pirates 5. Knight might be lucky to outgross Split.
Baby Driver raced to a solid $5 million opening on Wednesday. It looks like Sony knew what they were doing after all when they moved this from August. It does help that the June lineup has been awfully weak, with nothing else besides Wonder Woman catching fire. A $20 million-plus weekend and strong legs through July, which also looks like it might be underwhelming, and Baby Driver might just be this summer's least-expected $100 million grosser.
Opening today is Despicable Me 3, which has received mixed reviews, most of which seem to boil down to "This isn't nearly as awful as I feared!". Kids movies have all underperformed this summer (along with everything else not involving Amazons or talking trees), so there's a market for this. Minions opened to $115 million. I don't expect DM3 to go that high, but I'll be surprised if it ends up under $100 million.
The House, the other wide opening today, is a bit of a question mark. It's the summer's 4th R-rated comedy, but the less said about Snatched, Baywatch, and Rough Night, the better. Will Ferrell is a consistent box office performer. In the last 7 years, he's starred in 5 live-action movies, and 3 of them topped $100 million, and the two that didn't made $86 and $90 million, respectively. So, at the very least, The House should end up outgrossing Baywatch, the top grosser of the three prior flops. Weirdly, this is only Amy Poehler's third starring role in a wide-release, live action movie, and the first where her co-star isn't Tina Fey. The main problem for the film is that a lot of its potential audience might very well decide to check out Baby Driver instead. If The House fails to make it to $20 million, it could be Ferrell's first big flop since Land of the Lost.
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Post by Ben Grimm on Jun 30, 2017 13:35:55 GMT -5
Also, Wonder Woman has now passed up BvS to become the highest-grossing DCEU film. At this point in its run, Suicide Squad had about $35 million left in the tank, so I'm guessing Wonder Woman has at least $50 million.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Jun 30, 2017 16:00:13 GMT -5
It will be interested to see if Wonder Woman can catch Guardians. Right now, the two films are about $54 million apart, which suggests that while WW will come close, it won't quite be able to get there. But GOTG is now rapidly losing screens, while WW is is still retaining the majority that it started on, and the weekly drops have been tiny. If WW is able to retain its small drops after Spider-Man opens next weekend, catching up to GOTG is a real possibility.
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Post by Ben Grimm on Jun 30, 2017 16:46:36 GMT -5
It will be interested to see if Wonder Woman can catch Guardians. Right now, the two films are about $54 million apart, which suggests that while WW will come close, it won't quite be able to get there. But GOTG is now rapidly losing screens, while WW is is still retaining the majority that it started on, and the weekly drops have been tiny. If WW is able to retain its small drops after Spider-Man opens next weekend, catching up to GOTG is a real possibility. Spider-Man will be the first real test. The relatively weak competition to date probably helped Wonder Woman a lot, but it may take a major hit on screens next weekend. |
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Post by Ben Grimm on Jul 1, 2017 16:06:22 GMT -5
On Friday, Wonder Woman outearned Transformers. It's liable to stay in the top 3 this week, only behind Despicable Me 3 and Baby Driver, both of which are new.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Jul 3, 2017 11:46:32 GMT -5
If there was any doubt that Wonder Woman has the best legs of the summer (both literally and figuratively), the stats bear it out. WW is the only wide-release summer movie to have earned less than 30% of its current gross outside of its opening weekend. Obviously, that stat can be misleading, as several movies have just opened and have yet to truly exhibit how strong their legs are. But, with domestic grosses being so frontloaded these days, it's hard to see any movie in current wide release, with the possible exceptions of Baby Driver and Despicable Me 3, making it under 30% (and I'm including DM3 primarily because of series history).
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Post by MarkInTexas on Jul 7, 2017 13:53:03 GMT -5
Opening today is Despicable Me 3, which has received mixed reviews, most of which seem to boil down to "This isn't nearly as awful as I feared!". Kids movies have all underperformed this summer (along with everything else not involving Amazons or talking trees), so there's a market for this. Minions opened to $115 million. I don't expect DM3 to go that high, but I'll be surprised if it ends up under $100 million. To quote my former goodhaired governor turned everyone's Energy secretary..."Oops". DM3 grossed $72 million last weekend, continuing the "Almost everything underperforms" trend that has captured pretty much every summer movie. DM3 does have the advantage of both Cars 3 flaming out and not having any other animated movies to compete with until The Oh God, We're Literally to the Point Where We'll Make Movies About Anything...How About the Google Maps Movie? Or Maybe Something Something Snapchat? Emoji Movie opens at the end of the month, so it has a chance to have some decent legs. Baby Driver turned its great reviews into an impressive $20 million weekend. If it is able to withstand the opening of Spider-Man and stay under a 50% drop, it could be on its way to $100 million domestic. In gambling, the house always wins. At the movies, The House lost big. Even with the star power of Will Ferrell and Amy Poehler, audiences largely ignored The House. It's opening was slightly more than Rough Night's and will probably finish with about the final total of Rough Night as well. Weirdly, there is only one more live-action, straight-up comedy (as opposed to action comedy) scheduled for the rest of the summer, Girl Trip, which opens in a couple of weeks. If it fails to make it to $100 million, it will be the first summer since 1990 that a live action comedy without action failed to make the century mark (that summer, only 4 movies hit the $100 million mark. Depending on how much action you can accept for your non-action comedies, the top laugher of the summer was either Back to the Future III, Bird on a Wire, or Problem Child). This weekend only sees one major opening, Spider-Man: Homecoming, which brings us our third Peter Parker of the millennium in Tom Holland who, unlike Tobey Maguire and especially Andrew Garfield, actually looks like he might still be in high school (filming started shortly after Holland's 20th birthday). As the many, many, many appearances by Robert Downey, Jr. in the trailer reminded us, this Spider-Man is officially part of the MCU, even though Spidey is still a Sony property. The summer's two other comic book movies, Guardians 2 and Wonder Woman, opened to $146 million and $103 million, so I'm going to split the difference and say this opens around $125 million. |
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Post by ganews on Jul 14, 2017 22:34:28 GMT -5
We saw Wonder Woman three days ago thanks to its ridiculous staying power. The theater was as full for the one daily showing as any movie I see that has only been open two weekends (I avoid movies within two weeks of release to minimize crowds).
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Post by MarkInTexas on Jul 17, 2017 11:19:00 GMT -5
The highest grossing movie of the summer of 2017 will be, in a big upset, Wonder Woman. WW is now only $6 million behind Guardians of the Galaxy 2, and is still earning far more than GOTG is every weekend. If WW doesn't pass GOTG by this upcoming weekend, it definitely will by next weekend. Meanwhile, Spider-Man: Homecoming, opened a bit below expectations last weekend at $117 million, or only a bit above what the first Tobey Maguire Spider-Man opened to back in 2002. This weekend, it fell to $45 million, a 10-day total that only puts it $2 million ahead of where WW was on its 10th day of release. So Spider-Man won't be swinging into the top spot, either.
After this, there aren't that many big releases left, and none of them look like $400 million domestic titles. Indeed, the only titles that I could see even grossing $200 million are Dunkirk and (ugh) The Emoji Movie.
In other news, War for the Planet of the Apes did solid, but not spectacular, business this weekend. It made $56 million, only a bit more than Rise made on its opening weekend in 2011. Unless it has stronger legs than most movies this summer, it should end up as the lowest-grossing of this trilogy. The Big Sick went nationwide after putting up eye-popping per-screens the last few weekends. Unfortunately, it turns out that people outside big cities weren't really all that interested in a comedy starring Kumail Nanjiani about a woman in a coma. The Big Sick is going to be immensely profitable and might even be remembered in the Oscar race in a few months (it's a strong contender for Original Screenplay, at least). But it won't make it much past $30 million domestic.
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Post by Ben Grimm on Jul 17, 2017 11:30:51 GMT -5
Meanwhile, Spider-Man: Homecoming, opened a bit below expectations last weekend at $117 million, or only a bit above what the first Tobey Maguire Spider-Man opened to back in 2002. This weekend, it fell to $45 million, a 10-day total that only puts it $2 million ahead of where WW was on its 10th day of release. So Spider-Man won't be swinging into the top spot, either. In other news, War for the Planet of the Apes did solid, but not spectacular, business this weekend. It made $56 million, only a bit more than Rise made on its opening weekend in 2011. Unless it has stronger legs than most movies this summer, it should end up as the lowest-grossing of this trilogy. I have a sneaking suspicion that Spider-Man and Apes both hurt each other. If we get another PotA movie, I think they might want to think about releasing it during a less busy time of year. Those movies - while not exactly art films - are still more intellectual than most Summer fare and could probably do well in the Fall. |
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Post by MarkInTexas on Jul 24, 2017 11:37:19 GMT -5
It's official. Wonder Woman has passed Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 to become the highest-grossing film of the summer. Depending on the grosses of Coco and maybe Thor: Ragnarok and Justice League, it should finish as one of the top five films of 2017. Indeed, if it doesn't finish at #3 (since it won't beat Beauty and the Beast, and Star Wars should end up #1 for the year), that will be a historic anomaly, since the top movie of the summer hasn't finished lower than #3 for the year ever (going back to 1980).
Dunkirk opened very well, hitting $50 million. It will have to have better legs than most summer movies have had so far to make it to $200 million, but good reviews, good word-of-mouth, and the fact this appeals to older people who don't necessarily show up on opening weekend suggests it might just have those legs. Opening extremely well is Girls Trip, which came more or less out of nowhere to snag a $30 million opening. After the failure of The House a few weeks ago, most people (including me) wrote off 2017 as the first summer to not have a $100 million comedy* since 1990, but Girls Trip has an excellent chance to get there. It pretty much has the #1 Comedy of the Summer badge sewn up already, given that after three days, it's already more than halfway to Baywatch's current gross.
In less happy news, Valerian and the City of A Thousand Planets will, in a couple of weeks become Valerian and the Movie That Loses at Least A Thousand Screens in Its Third Weekend, after debuting to a disappointing $17 million.
Next week brings Atomic Blonde and (shudder) The Emoji Movie, which will probably be a huge hit, but I really really hope is not. I suspect the difference between Wreck-It Ralph and this one is similar to the difference between an arcade game and the app version.
*"Comedy", in this instance, is pretty much defined as live-action with little-to-no action. If you ignore the qualifiers, all three animated movies so far this summer would be considered comedies, and all have outgrossed Baywatch. Guardians 2 would also be considered one. For whatever reason, they're not, so despite the fact that GOTG2 has a sarcastic talking raccoon and a baby dancing tree as major characters, it's not a comedy for classification purposes.
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Post by MarkInTexas on Aug 2, 2017 17:37:22 GMT -5
Dunkirk won for the second weekend in a row with a respectable $26 million. This pushes its domestic total to just over $100 million, the 18th film of 2017 to join the century club. Baby Driver, at $93 million, should be able to inch its way across that mark in the coming weeks. Getting back to Dunkirk, my prediction of $200 million probably won't happen, but it should finish north of $150 million and will pick up a raft of Oscar nominations in January.
One movie that won't get to $200 million, and quite possibly to $100 million is The Emoji Movie, which came in second after across-the-board pans. Emoji was only able to scrape up $24.5 million for the weekend, and will likely fade fast. It does have the advantage of being the only kid movie out, now that Despicable Me and Cars are both pretty much done, but Nut Job 2 opens in two weeks (and yes, I'm looking for Nut Job 2 to save us from The Emoji Movie. How far animation has fallen).
Girls Trip held up strongly at #3, falling a mere 37%. It's well ahead of Bad Moms after its second weekend, and should have little trouble making it to $100 million, meaning this won't be the first summer since 1990 without a comedy hitting that total.
Jane Wick Atomic Blonde opened in 4th with a decent $18 million. Everyone involved will probably be happy with $50 million domestic.
After that in this weekend's top 10 comes four underperformers (Spider-Man, Apes, DMe3, and Valerian), then three overachievers (Baby Driver, Wonder Woman, and The Big Sick). Wonder Woman is at $395 million and should pass $400 in the next two or three weeks.
Opening solidly in limited release was Detroit (which goes wide this weekend), An Inconvenient Sequel, and Birgsby Bear.
In addition to Detroit, this weekend also brings out the first of this year's two big-budget Stephen King adaptions, The Dark Tower, as well as the long-delayed Halle Berry thriller Kidnap, which was filmed nearly 3 years ago and has been bouncing around the release schedule since. Dark Tower should easily win the weekend, even though reviews are expected to be savage (the fact we're two days away from opening, and neither Rotten Tomatoes nor Metacritic have one review for the film yet is not a good sign). It's possible that Dark Tower turns out to be such a disaster that Dunkirk three-peats, but probably not. We'll find out this weekend.
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