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Post by Deleted on Oct 21, 2018 18:13:35 GMT -5
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Post by ganews on Oct 21, 2018 18:18:39 GMT -5
Ranked choice voting is a good idea and we should adopt it in the US. But I have the suspicion that more than half of people who are currently third party purists would just rank the Green/Libertarian/etc. choice first and leave the rest blank. I mean, if they were willing to in effect vote for D/R albeit in second place, you'd think they would have been willing to specifically compromise enough to vote D/R in the present system - and of course there is a very vocal group that aren't. So I'm skeptical. If someone can point me to a study concluding that adopting ranked-choice would bring in current non-voters, I'd like to read it. At least in terms of presidential election, abolishing the electoral college would surely go a lot further. on both of those fronts.
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Post by Lord Lucan on Mar 27, 2019 17:36:11 GMT -5
António Costa’s Communist and Greens-backed government in Lisbon is registering record-low, Financial Times-approved, non-austerity generated deficits. Best blazon this from the rooftops for facile, rhetorical comparative purpose and to rebut less happy facile comparisons to Venezuela while possible! www.ft.com/content/0037f404-4fea-11e9-9c76-bf4a0ce37d49
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Post by Lord Lucan on Mar 31, 2019 15:13:17 GMT -5
http://instagram.com/p/BvealfZJNpM I recall estimates Pranab Bardhan cited a few years that in 1820 (post-Congress of Vienna, remarkably) China and india alone together contributed nearly half of global income. The visitations of Western new imperialism had reduced it to 9% over 130 years. India’s global GDP share collapsed from 1/4 to 3% between Aurangzeb’s tenure and Partition. A full restoration of the previous proportions will take a bit longer, but indubitably come.
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Post by sarapen on Apr 1, 2019 10:20:30 GMT -5
It basically goes as you would expect - i.e., calling Burning Man attendees "waiter" and instances of sexual harassment.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 8, 2019 23:00:18 GMT -5
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Post by Hachiman on Apr 8, 2019 23:37:11 GMT -5
Yikes! Its like the old proverb about people in glass houses throwing stones meeting Grandmaster Flash on that feed. Broken glass, everywhere. People pissin' on the stairs, you know they just don't care...
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Post by Lord Lucan on Apr 10, 2019 17:14:16 GMT -5
‘A poll from the Israeli Democracy Institute last week showed that among Israelis between the ages of 18 and 24, Netanyahu outpaces his rival Benny Gantz by an almost 50-point margin of 65% to 17%. Israelis older than 65, by contrast, prefer Gantz by 53% to 35%.
The figures paint a clear but unsurprising picture: Israel’s right wing is partly powered by the youth.’
How contrary to the preponderance of young Jewish opinion in the North American diaspora, the overwhelming number of whom are also indubitably ‘pro-Israel’.
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Post by Lord Lucan on Apr 10, 2019 17:17:41 GMT -5
A very interesting survey of Israeli opinion. en.idi.org.il/articles/26443‘66.5% of the Jewish public thinks that Israel is too lenient in dealing with the clashes on the Gaza border.’
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Post by Lord Lucan on Apr 13, 2019 15:00:28 GMT -5
Impresses one as yet more inspiring on the newsprint. Accompanies an article in FT about the renters’ revolt (strikingly successful in places) in Berlin, London, New York, etc. I was surprised to learn recently that about 97% of PRS properties in London remain build-to-let, though the trend, impelled by investor demand and governmental desire for long-term secure capital in the market, is toward institutionally-financed professionally-managed built-to-rent blocks. What the proportions are in the other two, I’ve yet to read.
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Post by Lord Lucan on Apr 13, 2019 22:55:56 GMT -5
‘“Look at the population who takes part [in anti-development campaigns]: it’s always first-wave gentrifiers who want the neighbourhood to remain a museum to the day they arrived,” says [Anthony] Breach [an analyst at Centre for Cities]. “They are very rarely working-class people in leadership positions.”’
An amusing observation, but one that can be and is made by those advancing corporate regeneration schemes bound to exacerbate the social cleansing of the moderate to low income workers it’s ostensibly made in sympathy with.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 15, 2019 4:15:53 GMT -5
Important news out of NZ:
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Post by Lord Lucan on Apr 15, 2019 18:01:16 GMT -5
Reading a listing of Sotheby’s International Reality for a multimillion-dollar geometric mansion in West Somerset, an affluent suburb of Cape Town, I was curious to know the demographic profile of the neighbourhood: 60 per cent white. A quarter of a century after apartheid, the state has a Gini coefficient of upwards of 0.6. Recalls to mind Enoch Powell’s dire prognostications of the black man coming to bear the whip hand in Britain, let alone South Africa.
President Cyril Ramaphosa, himself a multimillionaire business magnate, called last year for a constitutional amendment to provide for land expropriation without compensation; whites still owning the lion’s share of agricultural land, at upwards of 70 per cent. Where that proposal now stands, I haven’t been following.
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ArchieLeach
AV Clubber
I talk too much, I worry me to death
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Post by ArchieLeach on Apr 17, 2019 6:38:34 GMT -5
My prediction -- Tomorrow's report is going to have some bad news for Trump and his fans. Why else would they dump it on the Thursday before Good Friday and Easter weekend? They hope that the Christian contingent who still support Greasy Donnie will be in church, and that the Sunday morning shows will speak to a vacuum. Even Congress is out on leave for these two weeks. But news is a 24/7/365 business these days, and the word will get out.
If hope is the thing with feathers, I guess I've got some bird in me.
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Post by Albert Fish Taco on Apr 18, 2019 9:50:30 GMT -5
‘A poll from the Israeli Democracy Institute last week showed that among Israelis between the ages of 18 and 24, Netanyahu outpaces his rival Benny Gantz by an almost 50-point margin of 65% to 17%. Israelis older than 65, by contrast, prefer Gantz by 53% to 35%. The figures paint a clear but unsurprising picture: Israel’s right wing is partly powered by the youth.’ How contrary to the preponderance of young Jewish opinion in the North American diaspora, the overwhelming number of whom are also indubitably ‘pro-Israel’. I’d be curious what the breakdown would have been in terms of pre-Israeli background. Specifically those who or whose ancestors came to Israel from Mitteleuropa (Austria, Germany, Poland, Hungary, etc.) versus those from the Middle East/North Africa, the former Soviet Union, or Brooklyn. I suspect those differences might be what the generational differences reflect.
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Post by Ben Grimm on Apr 18, 2019 13:26:11 GMT -5
My prediction -- Tomorrow's report is going to have some bad news for Trump and his fans. Why else would they dump it on the Thursday before Good Friday and Easter weekend? They hope that the Christian contingent who still support Greasy Donnie will be in church, and that the Sunday morning shows will speak to a vacuum. Even Congress is out on leave for these two weeks. But news is a 24/7/365 business these days, and the word will get out. If hope is the thing with feathers, I guess I've got some bird in me. Ding ding ding we have a winner.
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Post by Lord Lucan on Apr 27, 2019 5:48:13 GMT -5
I’m sure he doesn’t mean Americans generally, and the situation is bleak for him and country both, but Lula’s utter contempt and exasperation on display here is kind of amusing:
’Lula told them Brazil needed to undergo period of “self-reflection” after what he described as the “crazy” fake news and hate-filled election of far-right populist Jair Bolsonaro last year. “What we can’t have is this country being run governed by a bunch of lunatics.
“I’ve never seen a [Brazilian] president salute the American flag. I’ve never seen a president go around saying, ‘I love the United States, I love it!’” Lula said of Bolsonaro, who paints himself as a “tropical Trump” and last month travelled to the United States to tout his close relations with the US president.
“Does anyone really think the US is going to favour Brazil?” Lula asked. “Americans think of themselves first, second, third, fourth, fifth – and if there’s any time left over they think about Americans. And these Brazilian lackeys go around thinking the Americans will do anything for us.”
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Post by Deleted on May 8, 2019 2:30:21 GMT -5
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Post by Lord Lucan on May 9, 2019 12:45:25 GMT -5
Letters
Distinction between free markets and capitalism
In his Books essay “Capital benefits” (Life & Arts, March 30), Martin Wolf raises the questions as to whether democracy is a threat to capitalism, and whether capitalism is a threat to democracy. In their book Democracy and Prosperity, Torben Iversen and David Soskice make the case that both views are wrong. As Mr Wolf puts it, they conclude that “democracy and an advanced market economy are symbiotic”. I agree. However, there are two further important questions. “Is capitalism a threat to free markets?” and “Are free markets a threat to capitalism?”
The distinction between capitalism and free markets is important. Capitalists, given the opportunity, will put up structures, corporate, legal and societal, to restrict free markets and enhance their own market position, enlisting government support in the process. If “successful”, this unfettered capitalism serves to maintain the interests of the already prosperous. We need to ensure that markets are indeed free to contain this unwanted and potentially dangerous outcome.
James Marshall Bangkok, Thailand
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Post by Lord Lucan on May 23, 2019 15:36:48 GMT -5
Perry Anderson on the Indian National Congress from 2012:
’Needed above all is detachment from the totems of a romanticised past, and its relics in the present. The dynasty that still rules the country, its name as fake as the knock-off of a prestige brand, is the negation of any self-respecting republic. The party over which it presides has lost any raison d’être beyond clinging to its bloodline – now desperately pinning its hopes, after the flop of Nehru’s weakling great-grandson, on his hard-bitten sister, Priyanka Vadra, if only she would hurry up and divorce her too obviously shady tycoon-husband. Congress had its place in the national liberation struggle. Gandhi, who had made it the mass force it became, called at independence for its dissolution. He was right. Since then the party has been a steadily increasing calamity for the country. Its exit from the scene would be the best single gift Indian democracy could give itself. The BJP is, of course, a more dangerous force. But it is a real party, with cadres, a programme and a social base. It cannot be wished out of existence, because it represents a substantial political phenomenon, not the decaying fossil of one, and has to be fought as such. So long as Congress lingers on paralytically, that will not occur.’
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Post by Lord Lucan on May 23, 2019 22:12:37 GMT -5
More of the foregoing here. www.nytimes.com/2019/05/23/opinion/modi-india-election.htmlMishra may be may be overegging the pudding about Modi’s demonetisation scheme as pure disaster, though. From the FT: ‘But although demonetisation was nowhere as effective as hoped, it does not mean it has failed. The policy signals the willingness of Mr Modi’s government, which is probing deposits made, to take painful steps to root out corruption and tax evasion. The value of this should not be underestimated. ‘Looking beyond the stated aims, India’s demonetisation policy had two unintended positive effects. First, it helped expand the tax collection net in a country where historically governments have struggled to raise the proportion of taxpayers from about 5 per cent of earners. Demonetisation led to the opening of more than 20m bank accounts in five months and the government says more than 9m new taxpayers were registered as a result. ‘Second, demonetisation was a forceful nudge towards digital payments. Fintech start-ups formalised large chunks of the informal economy. Everyone from large multiplex owners to roadside vendors were forced to accept digital payments and, unlike cash payments, digital transactions cannot be under-reported to evade the tax collector.’
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Post by Lord Lucan on May 26, 2019 17:47:34 GMT -5
www.hrichina.org/en/press-work/press-release/mourning-our-families-and-compatriots-killed-june-fourth-massacre-lettertruth30.hrichina.org/unforgotten.htmlThe road not taken: China after Tiananmen James Kynge
A funeral eulogy is not usually the time to apologise for the behaviour of the deceased. But the lives of China’s exiled dissidents are rarely straightforward. So when Wei Jingsheng, who is often known as the “father of China’s democracy movement”, paid tribute to his dead brother earlier this year, the tangle of conflicting emotions could not be concealed.
Wei Jingsheng did not attend the funeral in Paris of Wei Xiaotao, who died in exile of cancer aged 65 in January. But the recorded message he sent left no doubt that the human cost of China’s Tiananmen massacre is still being counted 30 years after the communist leaders sent in the tanks on June 4 1989.
Xiaotao had been in his youth one of the brightest Chinese of his generation. In spite of an education disrupted by the chaotic Cultural Revolution, he became an award-winning nuclear scientist and the youngest person in China to win the then-coveted title of “senior engineer”.
Wei Jingsheng, centre, is reunited in 1993 with his brother Xiaotao and sister Ling after being released from a 14-year sentence © Getty
Xiaotao’s life as a high-flying member of China’s communist elite had come crashing to earth because of the secret assistance he gave to his brother’s underground activities. At the time of Tiananmen, Jingsheng was still serving a prison sentence for his role in the 1978-1979 “Democracy Wall” movement, a precursor to the convulsions in 1989 that brought millions of Chinese on to the streets across the country demanding greater freedoms.
After he was released in 1993, Jingsheng began working underground on behalf of the victims of the Tiananmen massacre, including the mothers who were officially forbidden to openly mourn the children they lost to the army’s bullets. Xiaotao helped to finance Jingsheng’s activities, but when the authorities found out they deported him to France, even though he did not have a French passport.
Tiananmen Square: China 30 years on “Thus my brother . . . could only stay in France as a refugee. Because he could not speak French, he could not find a corresponding job, so he was depressed. He used alcohol to release his stress and often vented some nameless fire and thus offended many friends,” Jingsheng said.
“Here I want to apologise to everyone here at his memorial service because all these problems started from me. In the past, he was a handsome guy with a good temper and a cute personality that everyone loved,” he added.
“Many friends have sacrificed for democracy and freedom. It is not only they that are making sacrifices but their relatives are also paying a huge price for the rights and interests of the Chinese people,” said Jingsheng, 69, who was himself exiled to the US in 1997 after spending a total of 18 years in prison at different times for his activism.
“This is a pain that most people cannot imagine.”
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I covered Tiananmen Square as a young Reuters journalist. Trying to trace its legacy is like attempting to count the number of bends along the winding course of the Yellow River; so much of what China is today — and how it is seen in the world — derives from the brutality of a crackdown that smothered the hopes of a generation.
My job in those days was to spend days and nights in the square interviewing the protest leaders and phoning back quotations to our news bureau. The mobile phone I was issued with was the size of a brick and it cost several thousand dollars. As he handed it to me, my bureau chief said: “If you lose this, we will lose you.” So when I slept on the steps of the Monument to the People’s Heroes in the centre of the square, I would wrap the phone in my shirt and put it in my cloth bag to make a burglar-proof pillow.
The mood was that of a festival of youth. Although the common description of the Tiananmen demonstrations in the western media is that they were “pro-democracy”, the reality was much more complex. Romance and sex reinforced a sense of ideological experiment, while the makeshift tents in the square afforded more privacy than university dormitories that often housed eight to a room.
A scene from Beijing in 1989 by Liu Heung Shing, a photographer who was present throughout the protests in Tiananmen Square. The image is taken from ‘A Life in a Sea of Red’, recently published by Steidl
Some students such as Li Lu, a student leader who is now an associate of investor Warren Buffett in the US, entered into pop-up marriages in the square. Unofficial marriage certificates were prepared and embossed with the stamp of the “hunger strike headquarters”, an impromptu body that oversaw more than 3,000 hunger strikers.
The students’ actions were rooted in a time-honoured tradition of Confucian dissent, which holds that helping rulers to improve without trying to overthrow them represents a pure form of patriotism. Their main demands were for an end to corruption in official circles along with the special privileges of the elite, freedom of expression in society and in the media and, ultimately, a more democratic political system. But there were also more personal attacks, especially against Li Peng, the conservative premier who was later dubbed the “Butcher of Beijing” for his role in the massacre.
What China is today derives from the brutal crackdown that smothered the hopes of a generation
Over the course of the spring of 1989 in cities all over the country, millions of Chinese took to the streets calling for reform. The reason that Beijing did not act sooner to snuff out the demonstrations was mainly because a group in the ruling politburo led by Zhao Ziyang, general secretary of the Communist party, was sympathetic to the students’ demands. But after Zhao lost a power struggle, Deng Xiaoping — China’s paramount leader — ordered in the troops.
The world’s media had taken rooms in the Beijing Hotel, a leviathan of socialist architecture that looked on to the Avenue of Eternal Peace and beyond it to the square. It was from balconies in the hotel that cameramen filmed the searing footage of “tank man”, the willowy student with a cloth satchel who stood in front of a column of tanks, stopping them temporarily in their tracks.
Such acts of heroism were in fact common on June 4 and 5. Back then I spoke to several people at the entrance to Nanchizi, a street that gives on to the avenue near the square, who told me that their hearts were so full of hatred for the Communist party that they did not care if they lived or died. A few of them then walked out into the avenue and were shot dead.
Injured students are rushed from Tiananmen Square to the Peking Medical College Hospital on the back of a flat-bed bike on June 4 1989 © From ‘A Life in a Sea of Red’, published by Steidl
I particularly recall an elderly professor in a grey Parisian beret who courteously shook my hand before walking out into a hail of bullets.
More often, though, people were seized by panic and despair. Slowly in the ensuing days, the 200,000 troops sent to quell what the Communist party called a “counter-revolutionary revolt” brought the capital under control. “White terror”, a term that originated from the Russian civil war, was the phrase people used to describe the expanding security chokehold.
I fled out of the easternmost door of the Beijing Hotel when I saw soldiers entering an entrance to the west, leaving all my belongings — including a pair of leather Oxford brogues that my father had given me — in my room. For months afterward, I would surreptitiously check the footwear of Chinese men in uniform.
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One of the protest leaders I would interview on most days in the square was Han Dongfang. He was not a student but a railway electrician and his camp of fellow workers was positioned toward the north-west, away from the student headquarters.
Now 55 and living in Hong Kong, Han runs the China Labour Bulletin, an organisation dedicated to workers’ rights in China and elsewhere. He looks remarkably similar to the charismatic 26-year-old with flowing locks who won a broad following in the square for his fiery speeches.
When we meet, he is too polite to say that he does not remember me, deflecting my attempts to jog his memory with strategically timed chuckles.
The story of his life since the crackdown gives a sense of how the twisting legacy of Tiananmen has played out. After the troops stormed in, he fled to watermelon fields outside the capital. His father had once grown them, so he had something to talk about with the farmers who gave him shelter.
Han Dongfang, photographed in Hong Kong, was one of the protest leaders on Beijing's 'Most Wanted List'. He now runs the workers' rights organisation China Labour Bulletin © Lam Yik Fei
But then he saw a TV newsreader reading out the names and physical descriptions of protesters on “Most Wanted” lists. To his shock, he found his name was at the top of the list of worker participants. He considered going into hiding but then remembered his pledge in the square that he would “walk into prison by myself” rather than betray the movement.
So he decided to turn himself in. He rode his bike back into central Beijing, hiding during the day and moving at night, always scared that if he was discovered before he got to the police station, he would be beaten up as a “counter-revolutionary” and then given a harsher jail sentence.
Eventually, he made it to the police headquarters. There were two entrances; outside one was a queue of some 200 people hoping to get passports to leave China. So Han summoned his courage and went up to a young soldier standing in front of the other entrance.
“I told him the bureau has asked for me and so I am here,” Han remembers. “But the soldier looked at me and said; ‘Who in the bureau?’ And I said; ‘I don’t know’. So he shrugged and told me to go join the queue for passports.”
At that moment, he was thrown into inner turmoil. “I thought everyone will know me because my picture is on TV every day and in all the newspapers and therefore I should turn myself in. But now I find out that even at the police station, they do not recognise me.”
But just as he was deciding what to do next, another policeman spotted him. He presented himself for arrest, spent almost two years in jail and then later was expelled to Hong Kong.
One legacy of Tiananmen, as Han sees it, is that it set China on a path towards its current brand of authoritarian capitalism. Following the crackdown, the coercive power of the Communist party grew stronger at the expense of people’s — and particularly workers’ — rights.
“Over the past 40 years in China we have had a creed of the market as a magic wand,” he says. “It is ironic that people are waving the communist flag but in fact the party is the biggest believer in capitalism, in the market and in jungle rule in the world.”
Thus in his work at the China Labour Bulletin he tries to bolster workers’ rights in disputes that take place all over China. For Han, collective bargaining for better wages lies at the heart of true democracy.
Other activists see Tiananmen as a different type of watershed for the world’s most populous country. Bao Pu is a Hong Kong-based publisher and the son of Bao Tong, the former political secretary to Zhao Ziyang, who at the age of 86 remains under 24-hour surveillance at his home in Beijing because of his role in the Tiananmen events.
I ask Bao what he sees as the legacy of Tiananmen. “Tiananmen actually divides the history of the People’s Republic of China into before and after,” he says. “What was before was that people still trusted the Communist party. They never imagined the party would send in the troops and tanks and shoot them. But after that event, the trust has been broken.”
Bao Pu, a Hong Kong-based publisher and son of a prominent activist, says 'you need to have a basic trust between the government and its people' © Lam Yik Fei
Hong Kong professor Joseph Cheng has warned against the spread of Beijing’s authoritarianism and has expressed concern about a new extradition law © Lam Yik Fei I am sceptical. Has not China’s extraordinary economic transformation over the past 30 years done something to salvage Beijing’s reputation, I ask. Some might say that authoritarianism has been shown to be an effective system of government for China, given the vastly improved living standards of its people, I add.
But Bao does not see the massacre as the precursor of success. “That is like cutting off someone’s limb and when he survives you say that he is still surviving because you cut off his limb,” he says. “The person is actually crippled and that is what China is. In any society you need to have a basic trust between the government and its people.”
I put a similar question to Wei, who is known for saying that only with democracy can China throw off poverty. But isn’t it doing a pretty good job throwing off poverty without democracy? “It is going backwards,” is his only reply.
Chart showing trust in government in selected countries
However, opinion polls by reputable international providers show that Chinese people currently have a high level of trust in their central government. Such facts sit uneasily with the western narrative that an emerging middle class is destined always to demand more choice — including at the ballot box.
Jean-Pierre Cabestan, a Hong Kong-based professor, describes in a forthcoming book, China Tomorrow, the view that Beijing after much practice has installed a “new authoritarian equilibrium which should help with maintaining its dictatorship for a long time”. The essence of this system’s sustainability, he argues, is the capacity of Beijing to adapt quickly to a fluid set of challenges.
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One aspect of China’s adaptiveness is evident in the way it treats its dissidents. The former Soviet Union dispatched political activists to camps in Siberia to perform hard labour on starvation rations in temperatures that could plunge to minus 60 degrees centigrade. But China’s gulag is the west.
Beijing has realised that imprisoning dissidents at home can turn them into heroes. But to exile them to the US, Europe or elsewhere deprives them of their context and dilutes the source of their idealism.
When dissidents arrive in exile, a flurry of excitement greets them. But as time passes they often fall victim to a groundhog day dynamic; every year around the Tiananmen anniversary the same people are asked the same questions by the same journalists and, eventually, the public gets bored.
Han Dongfang, for one, recognises the perils of becoming a broken record. “Twenty years ago I made a decision that I was not going to talk about [Tiananmen] once a year to the media just like some dinosaur being brought out into the museum,” he says.
Beijing, meanwhile, is feeling emboldened by the success — on its terms at least — of the uncompromising rule that followed the crackdown. It is now packaging autocracy for export. Some places, such as Hong Kong — which was promised political autonomy from the mainland until at least 2047 — are feeling Beijing’s grip tighten.
Asked if China is doing a good job throwing off poverty, Wei only replies: ‘It is going backwards’
Joseph Cheng, a Hong Kong professor, says that an extradition law that the territory is preparing to adopt this year following pressure from Beijing is one example of this spreading authoritarianism. The law could allow for Hong Kong citizens who criticise the Communist party to be hauled over to the mainland to stand trial.
The prospect is heightening a sense of anxiety. “Ordinary people in Hong Kong accept more or less that it is extremely difficult to fight China,” Cheng says. “Up to 1m people in Hong Kong have foreign passports or rights of residence in other countries, and these people may well leave Hong Kong in the coming years.”
But for many victims of Tiananmen, the feelings remain deeply personal. The “Tiananmen mothers” — an informal group that Wei Jingsheng was helping when his brother Xiaotao was sent into exile — have created a commemorative montage of photographs of their children for the 30th anniversary of their death.
In an open letter signed on the website of “Human Rights in China”, a human rights group, 127 relatives of those killed in the massacre remember 55 of their number who have died in recent years, including one man of 73 who took his own life after finding it “unbearable to live after all these excruciating years” while the authorities ignored all pleas for justice.
The “mothers”, who are based in mainland China, live under constant electronic and police surveillance. Any attempt to hold group mourning sessions in public for their children are pounced upon by police and stopped, human rights groups say. As old age and declining health winnow their ranks, many “mothers” fear they will not live to see Beijing reverse its official condemnation of the protests as a “counter-revolutionary riot”. Thus they are investing their hopes in the judgment of history.
Previously unseen footage of the army moving in to quash the student-led demonstrations of 1989 © Still from FT video. Original footage by Terril Jones
“Thirty years later, while the criminal evidence has been covered up by the façade of ‘prosperity’ made up of towering buildings and clustered overpasses, the hard facts of the massacre are etched into history. No one can erase it; no power, however mighty, can alter it; and no words or tongues, however clever, can deny it,” they wrote in the open letter.
They recall how harshly history now judges the great famine of the late 1950s and early 1960s, when the disastrous policies of Chairman Mao Zedong caused tens of millions of Chinese to starve to death. “Considering this, we can’t help but wonder: Wouldn’t the People’s Liberation Army’s mass killing of innocent people in full public view also be recorded in history? How can these numerous murderers escape the trial of history in the end?”
James Kynge is the FT’s global China editor, based in Hong Kong
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Post by Lord Lucan on May 26, 2019 20:13:18 GMT -5
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Post by Lord Lucan on May 26, 2019 20:43:11 GMT -5
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Post by Lord Lucan on May 28, 2019 20:09:25 GMT -5
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Post by Hachiman on May 29, 2019 0:59:47 GMT -5
Really shows how unnecessary partition ultimately was. I mean I know, if we added Bangladesh (formerly East Pakistan) then the number number wouldn't be as ironic, but even then the large Muslim population in India still demonstrates that the speculative reasons for partition were unfounded. Also, that population projection for Iran really concerns me. They've already factored in that something is going to drastically curtail their population growth.
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Post by Lord Lucan on May 29, 2019 1:30:14 GMT -5
Really shows how unnecessary partition ultimately was. I mean I know, if we added Bangladesh (formerly East Pakistan) then the number number wouldn't be as ironic, but even then the large Muslim population in India still demonstrates that the speculative reasons for partition were unfounded. Also, that population projection for Iran really concerns me. They've already factored in that something is going to drastically curtail their population growth. Indeed. I found Ayesha Jalal’s monograph on Jinnah’s objectives and strategy very illuminating, and she repeatedly quotes his judgment at the AIML meeting in 1944 that a Pakistan without a unified Punjab and Bengal would be an intolerably mutilated one not worth having, which is the one that came to be. It can fairly be regarded as a paradigmatic failed state from a great many aspects. Interesting about Iran, yes. Iraq’s population of 38m, by contrast, is rising by more than 1m per year, with 40 per cent under 14 years. There’s also much potential for that country notwithstanding the conflict of recent decades.
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Post by Lord Lucan on Jun 2, 2019 17:42:29 GMT -5
An ‘actually, the centre can hold’ perspective: ’French winners are moving beyond right and left. They have shown class solidarity in uniting behind Macron. High earners, however they voted before 2017, overwhelmingly agree with him that France must transform to prosper under globalisation. They like his job-market reforms. He has prompted un coming-out libéral among leftist bourgeois, argues Fourquet.
In short, Macron is neither a “centrist” nor an accidental president. Because he attracts such strong opposition, it’s easy to overlook his equally strong support. Wealthy pensioners, who in 2017 favoured the centre-right’s François Fillon, are now joining the winners’ coalition too: on Sunday Macron took Versailles and the dowagers’ favourite beach town, Deauville.
He also has a significant regional base, in western France, especially Brittany. Fourquet explains that the west never deindustrialised, because it hadn’t industrialised much in the first place. Nor has this side of France seen much immigration. Rather, the median western experience in recent decades has been of ascending from impoverished peasant life to something more comfortable.
If Macron can hold on to assorted westerners plus his urban winners, he could be re-elected in 2022 more easily than he was elected in 2017, given that the centre-right and centre-left have imploded.
The working classes appear too divided to beat him. Many of them vote far left, and few old-time leftists and ethnic minorities will ever back Le Pen. No wonder the gilets jaunes preferred to protest against Macron in the streets rather than in an election. The movement united most of the working class only by staying silent about immigration and focusing on purchasing power.’
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Post by Jean-Luc Lemur on Jun 2, 2019 19:43:52 GMT -5
Ranked choice voting is a good idea and we should adopt it in the US. But I have the suspicion that more than half of people who are currently third party purists would just rank the Green/Libertarian/etc. choice first and leave the rest blank. I mean, if they were willing to in effect vote for D/R albeit in second place, you'd think they would have been willing to specifically compromise enough to vote D/R in the present system - and of course there is a very vocal group that aren't. So I'm skeptical. If someone can point me to a study concluding that adopting ranked-choice would bring in current non-voters, I'd like to read it. At least in terms of presidential election, abolishing the electoral college would surely go a lot further. on both of those fronts. It seems to work in Maine, where there’s a long history of independent candidates and weak/strange partisanship.
The thing is, though, while Greens/Nader loom large in the liberal consciousness, I’m not convinced RCV would help Democrats, esp. in non-New England cases—in a lot of state elections in purple (or in the case of VA purple-trended-blue) I get the impression libertarians end up spoilers for Democrats in gubernatorial and senate elections. And Johnson/Weld had three times the vote (~3% vs ~1%) nationally than Stein, though I have no clue where the second choice was for a number of them. Really, Johnson voters might be one of the more under-covered constituencies, still.
That might go for grassroots libertarianism in general as well—while it libertarianism seemed ascendant from around 2010-2015, to a large extent that was think tank DC/NY libertarianism, which was part “real” city-dwelling college-educated libertarianism, part rebranding exercise for conventional conservatives, but still divorced from the larger thing. What you might call the “Discourse wing” of the DSA gets a lot of news now for similar reasons—there’s a strong DSA-DC/NY media nexus, but DSA as a whole is about as a big statewide libertarian party. And much as NY/DC libertarianism wasn’t a good analogue for national libertarianism, I don’t think NY/DC/LA DSA is necessarily representative of national leftish stuff (both from the center-left—a lot of the “normie” organizing isn’t considered newsworthy even if it’s potentially importantant—and from the far-left, where you have local chapters dissociating from the national DSA and moving more towards libertarian communist-type anti-electoralism).
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Post by Lord Lucan on Jun 4, 2019 0:00:55 GMT -5
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